POWRE: Application of Econometrics and Game Theory to the Study of Democratic Consolidation

这个项目试图理解为什么民主在“最不可能的情况”中幸存下来，为什么它有时在“最可能的情况”中失败。这个项目的最终结果将是对民主的巩固和崩溃有一个更全面、更有科学依据的理解。它提供的解释将基于对争论理论的明确检验，包括对该领域经典著作的重新审视，对最近学术研究的关注，以及计量经济学和博弈论模型的应用。对这些理论的实证检验将需要对一些案例进行比较研究，这些案例是在理论考虑的基础上选择的，代表着世界上几个地理区域。因此，该项目不仅将增加目前正在进行的民主化工作，而且还将帮助我们回答更普遍的问题，即为什么民主在一些国家而不是其他国家得以生存。该POWRE奖将给予研究者访问加州理工学院12个月的机会。这个客座教授职位将使你在专业上有很大的发展。她将利用加州理工学院在计量经济学和博弈论方面的全国优势，花一年时间重新学习先进的方法论技能。除了重组，她还将进行研究，并与加州理工学院的教职员工进行磋商，以科学地分析民主巩固。这段经历将提高她研究的分析能力，并有可能使她晋升为德克萨斯农工大学的正教授。她对一个比她迄今为止的工作具有更广泛适用性的主题的研究的完成，也将提高她作为一名政治学家在全国范围内对该学科的知名度。%╣Á¢/©/│Á ？-萨拉吉-萨拉吉- Á萨拉吉-¥/ À ？¢/¥职权范围/%│À职权范围？/ /% À/ ？╣/ÀÁ¥￥￥？¥©/╝¥╣一╣│╣/ % /┤/¥┐╝/ %

This project seeks to understand why democracy survives in `least likely cases` and why it sometimes fails in `most likely cases.` The end result of this project will be a more complete and scientifically grounded understanding of democratic consolidation and collapse. The explanation that it offers will be based on an explicit test of contending theories, including a reexamination of classic works in the field and attention to recent scholarship, as well as the application of econometrics and game-theoretic models. The empirical test of these theories will entail a comparative study of a number of cases selected on the basis of theoretical consideration and representing several geographical regions of the world. Thus the project will not only add to the current work being done in democratization, but also help us answer the more general question of why democracies survive in some countries but not others. This POWRE award will give the investigator the opportunity to visit California Institute of Technology for twelve months. This Visiting Professorship will allow for significant professional growth. She will take advantage of Caltech's national prominence in econometrics and game theory by spending the year retooling in advanced methodological skills. In addition to retooling, she will conduct research and consult with Caltech faculty to scientifically analyze democratic consolidation. This experience will enhance the analytic sophistication of her research and possibly lead to her promotion to Full Professor at Texas A&M University. The completion of her research on a topic with broader applicability than her work to date will also increase her visibility as a political scientist to the discipline nationally. %╣Á¢ /┤ ┴╣%% Á©/│Á ?┐╝ ┐┤Á╝¢¥/┤╣À ? ¢║/¥╣/% │?À╣¥╣? /┤ └╣¢┐/% /└╣À/¥╣? ╣ /ÀÁ¥¢ ▓?¥© /╝¥╣Â╣│╣/% /┤ /¥┐╝/%