Dissertation Enhancement: Extreme Floods, Typhoon Occurrences, and Climate Change in the Ara River Basin, Japan

9724761诺克斯该奖项支持为日本东京大学地质学系的詹姆斯·诺克斯博士颁发为期9个月的国家科学基金会论文增强奖。诺克斯博士的学生迈克尔·格罗斯曼先生将与地质学教授与仓信行博士合作开展一项名为“日本阿拉河流域的极端洪水、台风发生和气候变化”的研究项目。这项拟议的研究将考察日本阿拉河流域极端洪水的历史，并通过数据分析，研究其未来再次发生的可能性。目前的理论表明，该地区(和其他地区)的极端洪水可能是人类引发的全球气候变化的直接结果，而不是前几个时代发生的模式的延续。这项拟议的研究将通过比较阿拉河流域过去和现在的河流系统数据来检验全球变化理论，特别强调气候变化引发的台风活动和区域洪水之间的假设关系。这项研究的结果将使人们深入了解全球气候变化是否确实是导致河流沉积体系明显变化的主要决定因素，并将为世界其他地区的类似研究提供经验依据。***

9724761 Knox This award supports a 9 month National Science Foundation Dissertation Enhancement award for Dr. James Knox in the Department of Geology, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan. Dr. Knox's student, Mr. Michael Grossman, will work with Dr. Nobuyuki Yonekura, Professor of Geology, on a research project entitled, "Extreme Floods, Typhoon Occurrences, and Climate Change in the Ara River Basin, Japan." The proposed research will examine the history of extreme floods in the Ara River basin in Japan and, through data analysis, the probability of their future recurrence. Current theories suggest that extreme floods in the region (and elsewhere) may be a direct result of human-induced global climate change and not a continuation of patterns occurring in previous eras. The proposed research will test global change theories by comparing past and present fluvial system data from the Ara River basin, with a specific emphasis on the hypothesized relationship between climate change-induced typhoon activity and regional flooding. Results of the research will offer insight into whether global climate change is indeed the primary determinant involved in apparent changes in fluvial regimes, and will provide empirical rationale for similar research in other regions throughout the world. ***