The Age Structure of Homicide: Stable or Variable

凶杀案的年龄结构：稳定还是变化

• 批准号: 9809846
• 负责人: Eric Monkkonen
• 金额: $ 6.3万
• 依托单位: University of California-Los Angeles
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1998
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1998-08-15 至 2001-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9809846&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Age; Structure; Homicide; Stable; Variable

This project extends an ongoing study of homicides in New York City across 200 years. An unexpected finding from that research was that nineteenth century age rates of homicide victims and perpetrators were flat across the age range 17-55. This difference may have obtained during the mid twentieth century. Current data indicate that the rate peaks during this age period. Of verify and replicate this result, the current research will collect data at additional sites across the united states. The purpose of the project, therefore, is to determine if it is a general phenomenon or unique to a few locations and eras. In addition, the results will assist in differentiating how much of the changes in homicide are due to changes in demographic composition of the City and how much is due to changes in behavior. Qualitative and regression analyses are being used. If changes in over all homicide rates are driven by age rate offending as well as basic demographic composition of the population, violence researchers will need an more complex analysis than previously presumed. Results of this work have already had and are expected to continue to have a major impact on sociolegal theorizing about the factors that contribute to violence and to policy makers who hope to intervene to reduce violence. %%% This project extends an ongoing study of homicides in New York City across 200 years. An unexpected finding from that research was that nineteenth century age rates of homicide victims and perpetrators were flat across the age range 17-55. This difference may have obtained during the mid twentieth century. Current data indicate that the rate peaks during this age period. Of verify and replicate this result, the current research will collect data at additional sites across the united states. The purpose of the project, therefore, is to determine if it is a general phenomenon or unique to a few locations and eras. In addition, the results will assist in differentiating how much of the changes in homicide are due to changes in demographic composition of the City and how much is due to changes in behavior. Qualitative and regression analyses are being used. If changes in over all homicide rates are driven by age rate offending as well as basic demographic composition of the population, violence researchers will need an more complex analysis than previously presumed. Results of this work have already had and are expected to continue to have a major impact on sociolegal theorizing about the factors that contribute to violence and to policy makers who hope to intervene to reduce violence.

这个项目扩展了一项正在进行的关于200年来纽约市凶杀案的研究。这项研究的一个意想不到的发现是，19世纪17-55岁年龄段的凶杀案受害者和肇事者的年龄比率是持平的。这种差异可能是在20世纪中期形成的。目前的数据表明，这一时期的发病率达到峰值。为了验证和复制这一结果，目前的研究将在美国各地的其他地点收集数据。因此，该项目的目的是确定这是一种普遍现象，还是少数地区和时代的独特现象。此外，这些结果将有助于区分凶杀案的变化有多少是由于城市人口结构的变化，有多少是由于行为的变化。正在使用定性和回归分析。如果总体凶杀率的变化是由年龄犯罪率和人口的基本人口构成驱动的，那么暴力研究人员将需要一个比以前想象的更复杂的分析。这项工作的结果已经并预计将继续对关于导致暴力的因素的社会法律理论和希望进行干预以减少暴力的决策者产生重大影响。这个项目扩展了200年来纽约市正在进行的凶杀案研究。这项研究的一个意想不到的发现是，19世纪17-55岁年龄段的凶杀案受害者和肇事者的年龄比率是持平的。这种差异可能是在20世纪中期形成的。目前的数据表明，这一时期的发病率达到峰值。为了验证和复制这一结果，目前的研究将在美国各地的其他地点收集数据。因此，该项目的目的是确定这是一种普遍现象，还是少数地区和时代的独特现象。此外，这些结果将有助于区分凶杀案的变化有多少是由于城市人口结构的变化，有多少是由于行为的变化。正在使用定性和回归分析。如果总体凶杀率的变化是由年龄犯罪率和人口的基本人口构成驱动的，那么暴力研究人员将需要一个比以前想象的更复杂的分析。这项工作的结果已经并预计将继续对关于导致暴力的因素的社会法律理论和希望进行干预以减少暴力的决策者产生重大影响。