An International Workshop on the Methodology of Incorporating Adaption into Assessments of the Impact of Global Climate Change: Pittsburgh, PA; Fall 1998

ATM-9813490 Yohe，Gary W.W.Wesleyan大学标题：将适应纳入全球气候变化影响评估的方法论国际研讨会：宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡；1998年秋季该提案请求国家科学基金会支持一个为期三到四天的国际研讨会，旨在提高我们评估全球气候变化影响的能力，因为适应基于有限的信息，并受到当地政治、文化、社会和经济结构的限制。拟议的研讨会将侧重于海平面上升和沿海管理，但它将着眼于产生可概括的见解，既能支持埃及和印度次大陆沿海研究的开始，又能为其他部门的研究人员创造富有成效的分析方法提供一些指导。研讨会应在两个不同方向产生重大成果。首先，积极研究人员的协作将使主要研究人员能够与其他人合作，为文献撰写一份注重方法的文件，不仅将向发达市场经济以外的下一代沿海分析提供信息，而且(更重要的是)将使气专委对工作适应的更广泛兴趣贯穿第二工作组对第三次评估报告的贡献。研讨会还将增进对各种模型之间的差异的理解，这些模型是专门为研究海平面上升的影响而开发的。预计将在自然和社会层面上发现差异；一份探讨其来源和后果的文件应该会对气专委TAR进程产生良好的影响。此外，比较和发展工作还将深入了解(1)将海平面上升更恰当地反映到充分取消种族隔离的综合评估模型中，以及(2)将更广泛定义的影响纳入“脆弱性评估”的g划船清单中。

Abstract ATM-9813490 Yohe, Gary W. Wesleyan University Title: An International Workshop on the Methodology of Incorporating Adaption into Assessments of the Impact of Global Climate Change: Pittsburgh, PA; Fall 1998 The proposal requests the National Science Foundation support for a three or four day international workshop designed to further our ability to assess the impact of climate change across the globe when adaption is based on limited information and constrained by local political, cultural, social and economic structures. The proposed workshop will focus on sea level rise and coastal management, but it will be conducted with an eye toward producing generalizable insights that can both support the inception of coastal studies for Egypt and the Indian subcontinent and offers researchers in other sectors some guidance in creating fruitful methods of analysis. The workshop should produce significant results in two distinct directions. First, collaboration of active researchers will allow the principal investigators to work with others to contribute a methodologically focused paper to the literature that will inform not only the next generation of coastal analyses extended beyond developed market economies, but also (and more importantly) the broader IPCC interest in working adaption throughout the contributions of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report. The workshop will also build understanding of the differences between the various models that have developed specially to examine the impact of sea level rise. It is expected that differences will be found along both natural and social dimensions; and a paper that explores their resources and consequences should feel well into the IPCC TAR process. The comparative and development work will, in addition, provide insight into (1) representing sea level rise more appropriately into sufficiently desegregated integrated assessment models and (2) including impacts more broadly defined in the g rowing list of "vulnerability assessments."