SGER: Consideration of Uncertainty in Design

SGER：设计中不确定性的考虑

• 批准号: 9900798
• 负责人: Joel Greenberg
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Princeton Synergetics, Inc.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1999
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1999-01-15 至 1999-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9900798&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: SGER; Consideration; Uncertainty; Design

9900798 This study will address the issue of proper quantification of uncertaintyin decision making--particularly in the area of design. This lack ofquantified assessments of uncertainty results in incompletecharacterization of product design and investment alternatives. Theemphasis will be on real-world applications including energy-related andspace-related product examples. The problem of databases for describingmulti-attribute (specifically including risk) decisions when the engineeror analyst is not the final decision maker will also be examined. The results of proper characterization of risk and uncertainty hasapplication to all aspects of decision making including product design. Theresulting applications-driven theory would be robust and lead to improveddecision making.

9900798这项研究将探讨适当量化决策中的不确定性的问题--特别是在设计领域。缺乏对不确定性的量化评估导致产品设计和投资备选方案的不完全特征。重点将放在现实世界的应用上，包括与能源相关的应用和与空间相关的产品实例。当工程师或分析师不是最终决策者时，用于描述多属性(特别是包括风险)决策的数据库的问题也将被审查。风险和不确定性的正确表征的结果已应用于决策的各个方面，包括产品设计。应用程序驱动的理论将是稳健的，并导致改进的决策。