Reliability of Electric Power Network and Grid

电力网络和电网的可靠性

• 批准号: 0352014
• 负责人: Masanobu Shinozuka
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of California-Irvine
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2004-09-15 至 2006-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0352014&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Reliability; Electric; Power; Network; Grid

Large-scale power outages occurred on August 14, 2003 covering a 10,000 square-milearea involving 50 million people in more than 10 states in Midwest and northeastern part of thisnation and southern Canada. A number of major centers of population such as MetropolitanNew York were impacted severely causing human inconvenience and miseries of all kind whilepower recovery effort gradually took effect. The disaster may have been caused by, as manysuspected, malfunction of a critical power component under excessive power demand in thesummer heat. It might take some time, however, to identify the exact cause of this worst powerblackout in the history of USA.The objective of this exploratory research is to acquire and archive potentially perishabledata related to the outages. We are particularly interested in the way in which the outage initiatedand cascaded throughout the power grids. The data to be collected will span a spectrum ofmechanical, electrical and socio-economic impact with significant emphasis on the data that areneeded for grid reliability evaluation.PI of this proposed research studied extensively on reliability of utility networks andpower grids to resist seismic conditions under which similar outages could happen. In thesestudies, transmission networks and grids, involving Los Angels Department of Water andPower.s (LADWP.s) and Memphis Light, Gas, and Water.s (MLGWP.s) systems were used asliving laboratories. These studies were based upon the analytical simulation of power flow, usingElectric Power Research Institute.s Interactive Power Flow (IPFlow) code, which is the industrystandard, for realistic performance evaluation of Western Electric Coordinating Council.s(WECC.s) power grid and of Memphis transmission network.Initially, the study was motivated by an accident in August 1996 in Oregon, in which atree came into contact with a segment of a high-voltage aerial power line, disabling itstransmission capability. The result was a wide-spread blackout in several states and cities,including part of Los Angeles. In fact, the research demonstrated that a local disturbance andinstability can propagate almost instantly far away to remote locations. The research becamemore seriously significant after the tragic September 11 event from homeland security point ofview and has just added another layer of relevance since the August 14, 2003 power outage.This is because disablement can be man-made, accidental or malicious, and cause a devastatinglynegative impact on socio-economic welfare of the directly affected regions immediately and ofthe nation in the long run.PI.s experience and expertise plays a crucial role in identifying the data that areindispensable and therefore should be collected for the ensuing reliability analysis of the physicalcomponents, utility networks and power grids. Since the preparedness for the emergency of theutility organizations, individually and in collaboration, is critical in minimizing the consequenceof outages, the data will include the record of implemented organizational response processes.Beyond these, data are needed to record how transportation, water and other lifeline systems andbusiness/industrial sectors behaved under the interruption of power supply. The estimatedeconomic losses will be updated as more information emerges, although the estimation will besomewhat speculative within the first year after the event.Broader Impact of this research is that it will contribute to significant scientific advancesin predictive systems analysis methods and protective countermeasures, and it will benefit tens ofmillions of customers of the utility systems, and local, regional and national economy.Pedagogically the research project is truly beneficial in training and encouraging juniorresearchers to become more interested in the electric power related research where lack ofresearch talents has been conspicuous.

2003年8月14日，加拿大中西部、东北部和南部的10多个州发生大规模停电，停电面积达1万平方英里，涉及5000万人。一些主要的人口中心，如大都会，纽约约克受到严重影响，造成人类的不便和各种痛苦，而电力恢复工作逐渐生效。这场灾难可能是由一个关键的电力部件在夏季高温下过度用电而发生故障引起的。这可能需要一些时间，但是，以确定在美国历史上最严重的停电的确切原因。这项探索性研究的目的是获取和存档潜在的perishabledata有关的停电。我们特别感兴趣的是，停电是如何开始的，并在整个电网级联。收集的数据将涵盖机械、电气和社会经济影响的范围，重点是电网可靠性评估所需的数据。本研究计划的PI广泛研究了公用事业网络和电网的可靠性，以抵抗可能发生类似停电的地震条件。在这些研究中，传输网络和电网，涉及洛杉矶水电部（LADWP. s）和孟菲斯光，气，水（MLGWP. s）系统被用作生活实验室。这些研究是基于潮流的分析模拟，使用电力研究所的交互式潮流（IPFlow）程序，这是行业标准，为现实的性能评估西部电力协调理事会。（WECC. s）电网和孟菲斯输电网的电力传输。最初，这项研究的动机是1996年8月在俄勒冈州发生的一次事故，其中一棵树与一段高压架空电力线接触，使其失去了传输能力。结果是包括洛杉矶部分地区在内的几个州和城市大范围停电。事实上，研究表明，本地干扰和不稳定性几乎可以立即传播到遥远的地方。从国土安全的角度来看，911悲剧事件发生后，这项研究变得更加重要，自2003年8月14日停电以来，这项研究又增加了一层相关性。这是因为残疾可能是人为的、意外的或恶意的，and cause原因a acquaintingly严重negative负面impact影响on socio社会-PI的经验和专业知识在确定不可或缺的数据方面起着至关重要的作用，因此应该收集这些数据用于随后的物理组件、公用事业网络和电网的可靠性分析。由于公用事业组织的应急准备，无论是单独还是合作，对于最大限度地减少停电的后果至关重要，因此数据将包括已实施的组织响应过程的记录。除此之外，还需要数据来记录交通、供水和其他生命线系统以及商业/工业部门在电力供应中断时的表现。估计的经济损失将随着更多信息的出现而更新，尽管在事件发生后的第一年内估计将是推测性的。这项研究的更广泛的影响是，它将有助于预测系统分析方法和保护对策的重大科学进步，它将使数千万公用事业系统的客户受益，从教学上讲，该项目确实有利于培养和鼓励年轻的研究人员对电力相关研究产生兴趣，而电力相关研究人才一直缺乏。