Workshop on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting and Assessment Methods, May 2004, Spain

新技术展望、预测和评估方法研讨会，2004 年 5 月，西班牙

• 批准号: 0354590
• 负责人: Alan Porter
• 金额: $ 1万
• 依托单位: Search Technology Inc
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2004-02-15 至 2004-10-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0354590&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Workshop; New; Technology; Foresight; Forecasting

The objective of this project is to facilitate participation by US social scientists in a workshop on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting, and Assessment Methods tentatively scheduled for May 13-14, 2004 in Seville, Spain. The Institute for Prospective Technology Assessment (IPTS) is hosting the workshop for 50-80 persons and the EU Directorate General for Research should be able to cover essentially all on-site costs of the American participants. The US planning group has issued a general call for papers, encouraging a broad range of submissions. It will select from among them those who bring new perspectives and are otherwise unlikely to be able to attend. The stipends in this award will help cover travel costs for 10 Americans to participate in this workshop, which will explore ways to advance the state of the art in assessing emerging technologies. Such "technological intelligence" is increasingly in demand for technology management and policy decision support. Yet, utilization of FTA in the past has been quite limited -- the potential to do better is great. There is much to be gained from bringing together European emphases on process management and public sector, large scope studies with American leanings toward quantitative methods and private sector, "micro" analyses of specific technologies. Moreover, fresh approaches are needed to understand changes in the nature of the technologies to be assessed -- from industrial to information to molecular. There is promise in exploiting rich science and technology information resources more fully and in bringing to bear new insights from complex systems perspectives. The aim is that the workshop will instigate a series of ongoing activities including research, bi-annual meetings, and nucleation of a thriving professional community. Academic engagement should enrich the approaches to FTA and lead to courses. The final report will include a white paper about directions for technology foresight, forecasting and assessment methods, including work on constructive technology assessment.

本项目的目标是促进美国社会科学家参加暂定于2004年5月13日至14日在西班牙塞维利亚举行的关于新技术预测、预测和评估方法的讲习班。前瞻性技术评估研究所将主办50-80人的讲习班，欧盟研究总局应能支付美国与会者的基本所有现场费用。 美国规划小组已经发出了一个全面的论文征集呼吁，鼓励广泛的投稿。 它将从他们中挑选那些带来新观点的人，否则就不太可能参加。 该奖项的奖学金将帮助支付10名美国人参加本次研讨会的差旅费，该研讨会将探讨如何推进评估新兴技术的最新技术水平。技术管理和决策支助越来越需要这种“技术情报”。然而，FTA的利用在过去是相当有限的-做得更好的潜力是巨大的。 将欧洲对过程管理和公共部门的重视、美国对定量方法和私营部门的大范围研究、对特定技术的“微观”分析结合起来，可以获得很多好处。 此外，还需要采取新的办法来了解所评估的技术性质的变化-从工业到信息再到分子。 更充分地利用丰富的科技信息资源，从复杂系统的角度提出新的见解，是有希望的。 其目的是，该研讨会将煽动一系列正在进行的活动，包括研究，半年一次的会议，和一个蓬勃发展的专业社区的核。 学术参与应丰富FTA的方法，并导致课程。 最后报告将包括一份白色文件，说明技术展望、预测和评估方法的方向，包括建设性技术评估工作。