Eyewitness Guessing and Accuracy: Subjective Experience and Objective Determinants

这一系列的六个研究将从客观和主观的角度来研究目击者的猜测。我们试图了解不同形式的猜测是否以及在多大程度上受到先前目击者研究中探索的实质性和程序性操纵的影响，以及RKG判断本身以及与其他主观和客观措施相结合的程度，可以预测准确性并解释实质性和程序性操纵的影响。 研究1是一项小规模的荟萃分析，将Penrod（2003）分析策略应用于研究，该研究提供了关于靶点存在和靶点不存在队列中的命中、未命中和假警报的完整信息，以及指定靶点外观相似的假警报率。研究2将考察倾向于猜测的个体的判断，并探索似乎伴随着使用顺序队列而出现的“丢失”的准确认同的性质。研究3将研究不同形式的目标暴露对使用记住/知道/猜测（RKG）判断的影响。研究4的重点是偏见的猜测率的影响，RKG反应的能力，以区分准确的判断和不准确的使用RKG偏见操纵的敏感性。研究5将使用RKG范式探索错误信息的影响。研究6将使用RKG范式探索无意识移情效应。

This series of six studies will examine eyewitness guessing from an objective and a subjective perspective. We seek to understand whether and to what extent different forms of guessing are (differentially) influenced by substantive and procedural manipulations explored in prior eyewitness research and the extent to which RKG judgments by themselves and in combination with other subjective and objective measures, can predict accuracy and account for the effects of substantive and procedural manipulations. Study 1 is a small-scale meta-analysis that will apply the Penrod (2003) analytic strategy to studies which provide complete information on hits, misses and false alarms in target-present and target-absent lineups together with the rates of false alarms on a designated target look-alike. Study 2 will examine the judgments of individuals who are inclined to make guesses and explore the nature of the "lost" accurate identifications that appear to accompany the use of sequential lineups. Study 3 will examine the effects of varying forms of target exposure on the use of Remember/Know/Guess (RKG) judgments. Study 4 focuses on the effects of bias on guessing rates, the ability of the RKG responses to differentiate accurate from inaccurate judgments and the sensitivity of use of RKG to bias manipulations. Study 5 will explore misinformation effects using the RKG paradigm. Study 6 will explore unconscious transference effects using the RKG paradigm.