An Integrated View of Oceanography: Ocean Weather Forecasting in the 21st Century

广泛的海洋研究和应用的进展取决于海洋信息产品的及时和可靠的供应。物理海洋学领域已经成熟到现在可以设想通过数据同化将数值模式和观测结合起来，以便在各种空间和时间尺度上提供海洋预报产品。因此，许多国家已开始大规模努力，向海洋学界提供常规产品。全球海洋数据同化实验（GODAE）为这些努力提供了一个框架，即一个由观测、通信、建模和同化组成的全球系统，它将提供关于海洋状况的定期、全面的信息，以一种促进和促进这种资源的广泛利用和可得性的方式，为社会带来最大利益。学校的具体目标是培养/激励年轻的科学家和专业人员，他们将成为未来10年海洋学业务产出的主要推动者和使用者。具体来说，为了进行良好的科学研究，人们需要了解向整个社会提供的产品的局限性。讲座将介绍这些局限性，并强调以下两个主题：1)科学如何从操作环境中受益？2)海洋预报系统的局限性是什么？可预见性吗?来自世界各地的顶尖科学家将齐聚一堂，总结目前在海洋建模、海洋观测系统和数据同化方面的知识，以呈现海洋学的综合观点。除正式讲座外，该领域专家的简短讲座将使与会者接触到广泛的应用。与会者还将有机会通过海报展示他们的作品。更广泛的影响：社会效益将是增加对海洋环境和海洋气候的认识，提高对社会、工业和商业利益的预测技能，以及战术和战略优势，以及为海洋提供全面和综合的方法。课堂讲稿将由与会者审阅，并将作为论文集出版。研究生、博士后研究员和初级调查人员将接受海洋资料同化方面的额外培训。

Progress in a wide range of ocean research and applications depends upon the prompt and dependable availability of ocean information products. The field of physical oceanography has matured to a point where it is now conceivable to combine numerical models and observations via data assimilation in order to provide ocean prediction products on various spatial and time scales. As a result, many nations have begun large-scale efforts to provide routine products to the oceanographic community. The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) provides a framework for these efforts, i.e., a global system of observations, communications, modeling, and assimilation that will deliver regular, comprehensive information on the state of the oceans, in a way that will promote and engender wide utility and availability of this resource for maximum benefit to the community. The specific objective of the school is to form/motivate the young scientists and professionals that will be the principal movers and users of operational oceanographic outputs in the next 10 years. Specifically, in order for good science to be performed, one needs to understand the limitations of the products that are made available to the community at large. The lectures will present these limitations as well as emphasize the following two themes: 1) How can science benefits from an operational environment? 2) What are the limits of ocean prediction systems? of predictability? Leading scientists from around the world will brought together to summarize the present knowledge in ocean modeling, ocean observing systems, and data assimilation to present an integrated view of oceanography. In addition to formal lectures, shorter talks by experts in the field will expose the participants to a wide range of applications. Attendees will also have the opportunity to present their work via poster sessions. Broader Impacts: The societal benefit will be an increased knowledge of the marine environment and ocean climate, predictive skills for societal, industrial, and commercial benefit and tactical and strategic advantage, as well as the provision of a comprehensive and integrated approach to the oceans. The lecture notes will be reviewed by the attendees and will be published as a proceedings volume. Graduate students, post-doctoral fellows and beginning investigators will receive additional training in ocean data assimilation.