A Climate Model Archive for Arctic Research and Outreach

chapman0520112提供的资金用于：(1)建立档案，以方便获取当前政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）指定的全球模式模拟的北极输出；(2)实施一套用户驱动的模块，旨在深入了解模式模拟及其效用；(3)利用IPCC模式输出将北极极端事件发生的变化与气候平均值的变化联系起来。IPCC的产出将包括使用几种不同强迫情景运行的一套12-15个模式的模拟。将构建由每个模型的月平均输出组成的核心存档。存档也将包括从某些模型中选择的场景运行的综合平均值。每天都会存档一部分变量。教育和外展模块的设计将有几个目标：(1)提高用户对北极气候建模技术现状的认识；(2)旨在吸引用户并激发他们对北极气候变化的兴趣的视觉吸引力。对极端事件的研究将包括在观测数据和模式输出的均值变化和方差变化的背景下对极端事件变化的统计分析。

Chapman0520112Funds are provided for: (1) construction of an archive to facilitate access to the arctic output of the current set of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-designated global model simulations, (2) implementation of a set of user-driven modules intended to provide insight into the model simulations and their utility; and (3) use of the IPCC model output to relate variations in the occurrence of extreme events to changes of climatic means in the Arctic. The IPCC output will consist of simulations from a suite of 12-15 models run using several different forcing scenarios. A core archive consisting of monthly averaged output from each model will be constructed. The archive will include ensemble averages of selected scenario runs from certain models, as well. A subset of variables will be archived on a daily basis. Education and outreach modules will be designed with several objectives: (1) enhancement of users' awareness of the state of the art of climate modeling of the Arctic, and (2) visual appeal intended to engage users and stimulate their interest in arctic climate change. The study of extreme events will include statistical analyses of changes of extremes in the context of changing means and changing variances in both observational data and model output.