Doctoral Dissertation Research. The Trajectory of Deomcracy: The Social Roots of Political Change in Turkey 1946-2004

博士论文研究。

• 批准号: 0526138
• 负责人: Beverly Silver
• 金额: $ 0.63万
• 依托单位: Johns Hopkins University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-09-01 至 2006-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0526138&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Doctoral; Dissertation; Research.; Trajectory; Deomcracy

SES-0526138Beverly J. SilverBaris Cetin ErenJohns Hopkins UniversityComparing Turkey's post-WWII experience of parliamentary democracy to other countries' experiences reveals an anomaly of the Turkish regime, which is seldom noticed. Apart from Turkey, no other country has experienced such a large number of military coups and at the same time enjoyed long periods of parliamentary democracy. The research seeks to account for this anomaly by tracing the social roots of political change in Turkey. It has two specific aims: (1) to map the trajectory of the Turkish political regime between 1946 and 2004 within a new conceptual schema that is designed to overcome some of the limitations of the existing literature on unconsolidated democracies; and (2) to examine the role of three inter-linked processes-(a) social protest from below, (b) competition within the power bloc in Turkey, and (c) conflict among core states-in explaining the trajectory identified. Specific hypotheses on the causal relationships will be assessed through an in-depth historical analysis of the post-WWII period. The research will create several new data compilations on which the historical analysis will draw, including a major new database on social unrest in Turkey from 1946-2004, compiled from reports of protest events published in two major Turkish national daily newspapers. Broader Impacts. The research is expected to make several significant scholarly contributions. First, the comprehensive new database on social protest will fill an important empirical lacuna in the literature on social movements in Turkey. Second, the multi-dimensional conceptual grid developed for analyzing ongoing democratization processes in Turkey will be useful for mapping the trajectory of various democratic regimes apart from Turkey, and will thus contribute to the study of democratization processes beyond the specific case examined here. Finally, the results of the research have broader implications, given that Turkey is frequently pointed to as a model with lessons that can be applied to promoting democratization processes in the Middle East as a whole. Gaining a deeper understanding of the social dynamics that are responsible for the trajectory of the Turkish political regime will help shed light on the potential/limits of current policies designed to promote regional democratization.

SES-0526138Beverly J. Silverbaris Cetin Erenjohns Hopkins霍普金斯大学（Compary Comparecompary）与土耳其在第二次世界大战后对其他国家的经历的经验揭示了土耳其政权的异常情况，这很少引起。除土耳其以外，没有其他国家经历了如此众多的军事政变，同时也享有长期的议会民主。该研究试图通过追溯土耳其政治变革的社会根源来解决这一异常。它具有两个具体的目的：（1）在1946年至2004年之间在新的概念模式中绘制土耳其政治制度的轨迹，该模式旨在克服现有文献对未经合并民主国家的某些局限性； （2）检查三个相互联系的过程的作用 - （a）从下面的社会抗议，（b）土耳其权力集团内的竞争，以及（c）核心状态之间的冲突，解释了所确定的轨迹。关于因果关系的特定假设将通过第二次世界大战后的深入历史分析来评估。这项研究将创建一些新的数据汇编，其中历史分析将绘制其中，其中包括1946 - 2004年土耳其社会动荡的主要新数据库，这些数据库是根据在两份土耳其国家每日报纸上发表的抗议事件的报告中汇编而成的。更广泛的影响。预计该研究将做出一些重要的学术贡献。首先，关于社会抗议的全面新数据库将填补有关土耳其社会运动文献中重要的经验空白。其次，开发用于分析土耳其正在进行的民主化过程的多维概念网格将有助于绘制除土耳其以外的各种民主制度的轨迹，因此将有助于研究以外的特定案例的民主化过程。最后，研究结果具有更广泛的含义，因为土耳其经常被指向一个模型，其课程可用于促进整个中东的民主化过程。对负责土耳其政治制度轨迹的社会动态有更深入的了解将有助于阐明旨在促进区域民主化的当前政策的潜在/限制。