RAPID: Collaborative Research: Multiscale plume modeling of the Deepwater Horizon oil-well blowout for environmental impact assessment and mitigation

RAPID:协作研究:深水地平线油井井喷的多尺度羽流建模,用于环境影响评估和缓解

基本信息

项目摘要

The subsurface plume from the Deepwater Horizon (DH) accidental oil-well blowout is a complex, layered system of intrusions containing oil, dissolved hydrocarbons, and injected dispersants that will have far-reaching environmental consequences; however, no modeling tools are currently producing highly-resolved predictions of the plume structure and evolution. The goal of this Rapid Response Research Proposal (RAPID) is to develop a three-dimensional, multiscale hydrodynamic model for the DH blowout plume that combines the Reynolds averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) modeling approach with the method of large-eddy simulation (LES). The resulting model platform will be validated to field and laboratory data, will respect the relevant chemistry and thermodynamics of the released oil and natural gas, and will be forced by the measured ambient conditions surrounding the spill. Such a simulation tool is urgently needed to guide field observations, predict the onshore migration and loop-current capture of the spilled oil, assess the effectiveness and potential environment impact of dispersants injected at the source, and to understand the response to this event already measured in the vertical migration of plankton and fish. The validated modeling platform will be developed through complementary laboratory experiments, numerical modeling, and analysis of field data. The laboratory experiments will evaluate the effects of currents as the flow through the plume and pull oil and dissolved constituents into the wake of the plume. The numerical methods will utilize a very large eddy simulation (VLES) to resolve the dominant plume structures in the near field of the blowout plume and will nest this model in a far-field model based on the unsteady RANS approach. Field data from acoustic Doppler current profilers will provide model forcing and validation data and will also be analyzed to understand the role of subsurface plume dynamics on the vertical migration of plankton and fish as also recorded in the ADCP data. Early analysis of this data shows a very rapid shut-down of the diurnal vertical migration pattern at nearby stations shortly after the start of the spill. This is the first documented environmental response to the blowout, and it remains unknown whether this is due to mortality, avoidance, light penetration changes or other processes. The sub-surface plume model developed here will provide detailed predictions of the subsurface plume structure necessary to analyze this environmental response. Intellectual Merit: The primary intellectual merit of the project will be an understanding of the critical physical and chemical processes in an accidental oil-well blowout that lead to the subsurface layered structure of oil and dissolved hydrocarbons in the water column. Important insight will also be gained on the appropriateness of a classical RANS model for predicting the dynamics of the oil and gas intrusions. Broader Impact: Predictions from the model will help guide the collection of observation data in the field and will be applied to understand why plankton and fish in the vicinity of the blowout shut down their vertical migration pattern shortly after the blowout. The model is also needed to predict the transport of oil and injected dispersants throughout the Gulf ecosystem, including onshore and into the loop current and potentially into the Atlantic ocean. Detailed studies of turbulence in multiphase plumes conducted in the later stages of the project will ultimately result in a reliable model framework featuring a zonal RANS-VLES simulation tool applicable to a wide range of environmental applications of multiphase plumes, including CO2 sequestration, lake aeration, and sediment plumes, among others.
深水地平线(DH)意外油井井喷产生的地下羽流是一个复杂的层状入侵系统,其中含有石油、溶解的碳氢化合物和注入的分散剂,将对环境产生深远的影响;然而,目前还没有建模工具能够对羽流的结构和演化做出高分辨率的预测。这项快速反应研究计划(RAPID)的目标是建立一个结合雷诺平均纳维斯托克斯(RANS)模拟方法和大涡模拟(LES)方法的三维、多尺度的水汽喷流模型。由此产生的模型平台将经过现场和实验室数据的验证,将尊重释放的石油和天然气的相关化学和热力学,并将受到漏油周围测量的环境条件的影响。迫切需要这样一种模拟工具来指导实地观测,预测溢油在岸上的迁移和环流捕获,评估在源头注入的分散剂的有效性和潜在的环境影响,并了解在浮游生物和鱼类垂直迁移中已经测量到的对这一事件的反应。经过验证的建模平台将通过补充实验室实验、数值建模和现场数据分析来开发。实验室实验将评估水流通过羽流的影响,并将油和溶解的成分拖入羽流的尾流。数值方法将利用甚大涡模拟(VLES)来解决喷发羽流近场中的主要羽流结构,并将该模式嵌套在基于非定常RANS方法的远场模式中。声学多普勒海流剖面仪的现场数据将提供模型强迫和验证数据,还将进行分析,以了解次表层羽流动力学对浮游生物和鱼类垂直迁徙的作用,也记录在ADCP数据中。对这一数据的早期分析显示,在漏油开始后不久,附近车站的日垂直迁徙模式很快就关闭了。这是第一次有记录的环境对井喷的反应,目前尚不清楚这是由于死亡、躲避、光线穿透变化还是其他过程。这里开发的次表层羽流模型将提供分析这种环境响应所需的次表层羽流结构的详细预测。智力价值:该项目的主要智力价值将是了解意外油井井喷中的关键物理和化学过程,这些过程导致石油和水柱中溶解碳氢化合物的地下分层结构。还将获得关于经典RANS模型预测油气侵入动态的适当性的重要见解。更广泛的影响:该模型的预测将有助于指导现场观测数据的收集,并将用于理解为什么井喷附近的浮游生物和鱼类在井喷后不久就关闭了它们的垂直迁徙模式。还需要该模型来预测石油和注入的分散剂在整个墨西哥湾生态系统中的运输,包括陆上和进入环流,并可能进入大西洋。在项目后期阶段对多相羽流中的湍流进行的详细研究最终将产生一个可靠的模型框架,该框架具有适用于多相羽流的广泛环境应用的带状RANS-VLES模拟工具,包括二氧化碳封存、湖泊充气和沉积物羽流等。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(0)
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Scott Socolofsky其他文献

Simulation of subsurface mechanical dispersion (SSMD) of oil by a water jet
用水射流模拟油的地下机械弥散(SSMD)
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.117586
  • 发表时间:
    2025-04-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    4.900
  • 作者:
    Zhaonian Qu;Tanvir Al Farid;Scott Socolofsky;Timothy Steffek;Michel Boufadel
  • 通讯作者:
    Michel Boufadel

Scott Socolofsky的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Scott Socolofsky', 18)}}的其他基金

Collaborative Research: Managing oxygen demand in lakes and reservoirs - a competition between natural and artificial forcing
合作研究:管理湖泊和水库的需氧量——自然和人工强迫之间的竞争
  • 批准号:
    1034112
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 3.74万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
CAREER: The Role of Turbulence, Coherent Structures, and Intermittency for Controlling Transport in Multiphase Plumes in the Environment
职业:湍流、相干结构和间歇性在控制环境中多相羽流传输中的作用
  • 批准号:
    0348572
  • 财政年份:
    2004
  • 资助金额:
    $ 3.74万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant

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