CAREER: Modeling for Insights with an Open Source Energy Economy Optimization Model

本研究有四个主要目标：(i)为能源经济优化（EEO）模型的开发和应用建立一个透明的过程；（ii）通过严格应用不确定性分析，在国家和全球范围内对能源系统发展产生新的见解；（iii）通过参与共同的认知发现过程，让分析师、决策者和学生参与建模工作。（iv）使用EEO模型作为一种工具，教导从高中到研究生院的学生从系统的角度批判性地思考能源系统和环境可持续性。该项目旨在通过开发一个新的开源框架来推进能源建模领域，该框架包括能源模型优化和分析工具（TEMOA）。TEMOA框架将是第一个包含EEO模型的框架，该模型的源代码和数据存档在一个网络可访问的存储库中，使任何人都可以验证发表在文献中的结果。此外，TEMOA框架将包括在并行计算环境中实现模型迭代的工具，这将极大地提高进行不确定性分析的能力。研究结果将通过会议报告、发表的论文和合作关系直接传播给能源建模和运筹学研究社区。此外，其他研究人员可以对开源框架进行修改，并将其用于自己的分析。研究结果还将被纳入从高中到博士研究的教育活动中。

This research has four main goals: (i) institute a transparent process for Energy Economy Optimization (EEO) model development and application, (ii) generate new insights into energy system development at the national and global scale through the rigorous application of uncertainty analysis, (iii) involve analysts, decision makers, and students in the modeling effort through participation in a joint cognitive process of discovery, and (iv) use EEO models as a tool to teach students ranging from high school to graduate school to think critically about energy systems and environmental sustainability from a systems perspective. This project aims to advance the field of energy modeling by developing a new open source framework that includes Tools for Energy Model Optimization and Analysis (TEMOA). The TEMOA framework will be the first to include an EEO model whose source code and data are archived in a web-accessible repository, enabling anyone to verify results published in the literature. In addition, the TEMOA framework will include tools to enable model iteration in a parallel computing environment, which will dramatically improve the ability to conduct uncertainty analysis. Results will be disseminated directly to the energy modeling and operations research communities via conference presentations, published papers, and the collaborative relationships. In addition, the open source framework will be available to other researchers to modify and use for their own analysis. Results will also be integrated into educational activities ranging from high school to doctoral studies.