RAPID: Assessing Voting Behavior in Elections

RAPID：评估选举中的投票行为

• 批准号: 1104007
• 负责人: Jason Reifler
• 金额: $ 3.43万
• 依托单位: Georgia State University Research Foundation, Inc.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-11-15 至 2011-10-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1104007&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Assessing; Voting; Behavior; Elections

This project examines voting in multi-candidate elections. The principal investigators seek to understand the conditions under which voters are willing to not vote for their most preferred alternative, and to instead consider casting a "strategic" ballot in order to help a second-choice alternative defeat a third-choice alternative. In democracies using single-member-district plurality electoral laws, voters only rarely choose among three candidates in the general election. The PIs propose to conduct multi-wave telephone surveys both before and after elections in six states where public opinion polling has indicated that three candidates are viable. The PIs are thus equipped to probe the conditions under which voters might opt to abandon their most-preferred candidate, and to vote instead for a second-best candidate in hopes of defeating their least preferred alternative. This survey thus permits an unmatched opportunity to examine strategic voting in different races and contexts within the same electoral cycle. This project makes several contributions. The project will enhance understanding of voter decision-making not only in multi-way races but more broadly as well. Comprehending the behavior of voters in turn stands as a central concern of political science and contributes to a deeper knowledge of the workings of democratic processes and institutions. The PIs aim to maximize leverage from the grant through their use of interactive voice response (IVR) surveys, where respondents note their answers to questions by pressing buttons on their keypad. IVR telephone surveys deliver high-quality data, are extremely cost-effective, and yet are not widely used in political science research. The data generated by the project will be made available to scholars and policymakers. Findings from the project will be of interest to policymakers and to political scientists specializing in public opinion and in electoral and party politics.

本项目研究多候选人选举中的投票情况。主要研究人员试图了解选民不愿意投票给他们最喜欢的选择的条件，而是考虑投“战略”票，以帮助第二选择击败第三选择。在实行单一席位选区多数选举法的民主国家，选民很少在大选中从三名候选人中做出选择。法律正义党提议在选举前后对六个州进行多波电话调查，这些州的民意调查显示有三名候选人是可行的。因此，PIs准备好了调查选民可能选择放弃他们最喜欢的候选人，转而投票给第二好的候选人的条件，以期击败他们最不喜欢的候选人。因此，这项调查提供了一个无与伦比的机会来研究在同一选举周期内不同种族和背景下的战略投票。这个项目有几个贡献。该项目不仅将加强对多元种族中选民决策的理解，而且将在更广泛的范围内加强对选民决策的理解。反过来，理解选民的行为是政治科学关注的中心问题，有助于更深入地了解民主进程和制度的运作。pi的目标是通过使用交互式语音应答（IVR）调查来最大限度地利用赠款，受访者通过按下键盘上的按钮来记录他们对问题的答案。IVR电话调查提供了高质量的数据，具有极高的成本效益，但并未广泛用于政治科学研究。该项目产生的数据将提供给学者和决策者。该项目的调查结果将引起政策制定者和专门研究公众舆论、选举和政党政治的政治学家的兴趣。