RAPID: Perpetual Minority Government? Electoral Choice in the Midst of Political and Economic Crises in a Contemporary Mature Democracy

RAPID：永久少数派政府？

• 批准号: 1003254
• 负责人: Jason Reifler
• 金额: $ 7.26万
• 依托单位: Georgia State University Research Foundation, Inc.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-01-15 至 2011-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1003254&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Perpetual; Minority; Government; Electoral

Canada appears to be facing an era of debilitating political deadlock where deep-seated regional and ethno-linguistic cleavages prevent any single party from capturing a majority of seats in the Parliament. The last three elections have each resulted in a minority government, and a fourth consecutive minority government looks likely. Little is known about how citizens respond when democratic systems that, for a number of successive elections, produced stable governments with comfortable majorities switch to producing successive short-lived minority governments. Given this context, this study focuses on the following topics. First, how does the seemingly endless procession of short-lived minority governments impact support for the Canadian political system? Second, who do Canadians blame for the ongoing instability? Third, do Canadians desire significant institutional change and, if so, what changes do they want? Fourth, who do the citizens believe is responsible for the serious economic and political problems facing Canada? Fifth, how do citizens assign credit and blame to parties for handling (or failure to handle) these problems? Sixth and finally, how do these factors affect party choice and electoral turnout? To answer these questions, the researchers use a two wave internet survey involving 3,000 respondents in the initial wave. The initial wave will occur prior to the election. The second wave will involve recontacts after the election with the initial set of interviewees. The data from the survey will be made public within one year of the researchers receiving the data sets. In addition, this survey is modeled after the Cooperative Congressional Election Study. The support from the National Science Foundation provides resources for a core set of questions on the survey. This allows other scholars to purchase modules on the survey to address specific questions of interest to them. They are able to stretch their own scarce resources by not having to pay for the core set of questions.

加拿大似乎面临着一个使政治僵局令人衰弱的时代，在这个时代，深处的地区和民族语言的分裂使任何单一政党都无法在议会中占领大部分席位。最后三个选举各自导致了少数族裔政府，连续第四个少数派政府可能看起来很可能。当民主制度在许多连续的选举中产生了稳定的政府，多数席位转向建立连续短暂的少数族裔政府时，对公民的反应知之甚少。鉴于此背景，这项研究重点介绍了以下主题。首先，看似无尽的短暂少数政府的游行如何影响对加拿大政治制度的支持？ 第二，加拿大人为持续的不稳定归咎于谁？第三，加拿大人是否希望进行重大的机构变革，如果是的，他们想要什么变化？第四，公民认为加拿大面临的严重经济和政治问题是谁？第五，公民如何将信誉和责任指责给政党处理这些问题（或未能处理）？第六，最后，这些因素如何影响政党的选择和选举投票？为了回答这些问题，研究人员使用了两次Wave Internet调查，其中涉及最初浪潮中的3,000名受访者。初始波将发生在选举之前。第二波将涉及与最初的受访者选举后的重新接触。调查的数据将在研究人员收到数据集的一年内公开。此外，这项调查是在合作国会选举研究之后建模的。国家科学基金会的支持为调查中的一系列核心问题提供了资源。这使其他学者可以在调查中购买模块，以解决他们感兴趣的特定问题。他们不必为核心问题支付一组问题来扩展自己的稀缺资源。