RAPID: Perpetual Minority Government? Electoral Choice in the Midst of Political and Economic Crises in a Contemporary Mature Democracy

RAPID：永久少数派政府？

• 批准号: 1003254
• 负责人: Jason Reifler
• 金额: $ 7.26万
• 依托单位: Georgia State University Research Foundation, Inc.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-01-15 至 2011-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1003254&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Perpetual; Minority; Government; Electoral

Canada appears to be facing an era of debilitating political deadlock where deep-seated regional and ethno-linguistic cleavages prevent any single party from capturing a majority of seats in the Parliament. The last three elections have each resulted in a minority government, and a fourth consecutive minority government looks likely. Little is known about how citizens respond when democratic systems that, for a number of successive elections, produced stable governments with comfortable majorities switch to producing successive short-lived minority governments. Given this context, this study focuses on the following topics. First, how does the seemingly endless procession of short-lived minority governments impact support for the Canadian political system? Second, who do Canadians blame for the ongoing instability? Third, do Canadians desire significant institutional change and, if so, what changes do they want? Fourth, who do the citizens believe is responsible for the serious economic and political problems facing Canada? Fifth, how do citizens assign credit and blame to parties for handling (or failure to handle) these problems? Sixth and finally, how do these factors affect party choice and electoral turnout? To answer these questions, the researchers use a two wave internet survey involving 3,000 respondents in the initial wave. The initial wave will occur prior to the election. The second wave will involve recontacts after the election with the initial set of interviewees. The data from the survey will be made public within one year of the researchers receiving the data sets. In addition, this survey is modeled after the Cooperative Congressional Election Study. The support from the National Science Foundation provides resources for a core set of questions on the survey. This allows other scholars to purchase modules on the survey to address specific questions of interest to them. They are able to stretch their own scarce resources by not having to pay for the core set of questions.

加拿大似乎正面临一个令人衰弱的政治僵局时代，根深蒂固的地区和民族语言分歧阻止任何单一政党在议会中获得多数席位。最近三次选举都产生了一个少数党政府，而且很可能连续第四次产生少数党政府。当民主制度在一系列连续的选举中产生了稳定的多数派政府，转而产生连续的短命的少数派政府时，公民如何反应，人们知之甚少。鉴于这一背景，本研究报告着重于以下主题。首先，短命的少数党政府看似无休止的游行如何影响对加拿大政治制度的支持？ 第二，加拿大人把持续的不稳定归咎于谁？第三，加拿大人是否希望进行重大的制度改革，如果是，他们希望进行什么样的改革？第四，加拿大公民认为谁应对加拿大面临的严重经济和政治问题负责？第五，公民如何为处理（或未能处理）这些问题的当事人分配信用和责任？第六，也是最后一点，这些因素如何影响政党选择和选举投票率？为了回答这些问题，研究人员使用了两波互联网调查，第一波涉及3,000名受访者。第一波将在选举之前发生。第二波将涉及选举后与最初一批受访者的重新接触。调查数据将在研究人员收到数据集后一年内公布。此外，这项调查是仿照合作国会选举研究。美国国家科学基金会的支持为调查的一组核心问题提供了资源。这使其他学者能够购买调查模块，以解决他们感兴趣的具体问题。他们能够通过不必为核心问题支付费用来扩展自己的稀缺资源。