Assessing Oceanic and Tidal Forecast Data For Search and Rescue Purposes

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Locating people lost and adrift at sea requires costly resources (aircraft, ships and rescuers) and accurate planning. Rescuers also require estimates of where currents will take them. Australian marine Search and Rescue (SAR) planning uses infrequent (typically once a week) satellite measurements of ocean currents to estimate drift patterns of people at sea. Recently developed ocean forecast models will potentially help forecast currents between the satellite observations, but are unproven for SAR use at this time and do not include tidal influences. This research project will develop measures of reliability and accuracy of using Ocean Forecasts that include tide forecasts for improving SAR planning outcomes in Australian waters.