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Causes of local budget deficit

地方财政赤字的原因

基本信息

批准号：
204206142
负责人：
Professor Dr. Jörg Bogumil
金额：
--
依托单位：
Professur für Stadt-, Regional- und Umweltökonomie
依托单位国家：
德国
项目类别：
Research Grants
财政年份：
2011
资助国家：
德国
起止时间：
2010-12-31 至 2014-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/204206142?language=en
关键词：
Causes local budget deficit

项目摘要

Despite some progress, research scrutinizing the causes of the fiscal deficits in local government has to be considered as underdeveloped. Theory-driven comparative analyses integrating socio-economic, institutional and actor-centered variables are scarce, and this is especially true for the Federal Republic of Germany. Hence it is still unclear which factors explain the observable variance in per capita deficits among municipalities. The research project presented here steps into this gap and analyses the impact of socio-economic, institutional and actor-centered variables on the fiscal situation of German local governments. Following the actor-centered neo-institutional heuristic, the stakeholders interests are considered as framed not only by institutional norms, standard interests and game-theoretical constellations, but also by the individuals orientations towards interaction and their claimed identities. By comparing federal states in Germany using qualitative and quantitative methodology, the antecedents of fiscal deficits shall be identified. To do so, a large-n approach is taken. Included into the sample are municipalities with more than 5.000 respectively 10.000 inhabitants. The comprehensive data set includes fiscal data, political background data and survey data gathered among key decision makers is gathered and complemented by case studies. Owing to multiple unexpected difficulties in data collection and the expansion of the empirics (more in-depth case studies, an additional full survey of 122 local councils and the inclusion of the 2010 fiscal data), the scheduled project duration of two years should be prolonged by six month. This additional time is necessary to make use of the now available unique dataset which brings together macro-, meso- and micro-level data for the first time. Only within this time frame the statistical analysis of the dataset becomes feasible, allowing to empirically testing the numerous theoretical explanations of fiscal deficits to be found in literature and to link them to the processes data gathered qualitatively.

尽管取得了一些进展，但对地方政府财政赤字原因的研究仍被认为是不发达的。整合社会经济、制度和以行动者为中心的变量的理论驱动的比较分析很少，对于德意志联邦共和国来说尤其如此。因此，目前仍不清楚哪些因素可以解释各直辖市之间人均赤字的明显差异。本文介绍的研究项目填补了这一空白，并分析了社会经济、制度和以行动者为中心的变量对德国地方政府财政状况的影响。遵循以行动者为中心的新制度启发式，利益相关者的利益不仅被制度规范、标准利益和博弈论星座所框定，而且还被个体对互动的取向和他们所声称的身份所框定。通过使用定性和定量方法比较德国的联邦州，应确定财政赤字的前置因素。为了做到这一点，采取了大n方法。样本包括居民分别超过5.000人、10.000人的直辖市。综合数据集包括在关键决策者中收集的财政数据、政治背景数据和调查数据，并通过案例研究加以补充。由于在收集数据和扩大经验方面遇到了许多意想不到的困难(更深入的案例研究、对122个地方理事会的额外全面调查以及纳入2010年财政数据)，两年的预定项目期限应延长六个月。这一额外的时间对于利用现有的首次汇集宏观、中观和微观数据的唯一数据集是必要的。只有在这一时间框架内，对数据集的统计分析才变得可行，才能对文献中找到的大量财政赤字理论解释进行实证检验，并将它们与定性收集的过程数据联系起来。