Subjective realities of climate change - Perceived climate-related impacts across social groups in urban areas and the quantitative deduction of socially sensible adaptation strategies

气候变化的主观现实——城市地区各社会群体对气候相关影响的感知以及社会敏感适应策略的定量推导

• 批准号: 205691989
• 负责人: Dr. Diana Reckien
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Center for Research on Environmental Decisions (CRED)
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Fellowships
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2010-12-31 至 2013-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/205691989?language=en
• 关键词: Subjective; realities; climate; change; Perceived

The proposed research addresses a number of currently important research needs in the applied climate sciences: the social differences of climate-related impacts, the quantification of impacts, and the quantification and comparison of selected adaptation strategies that target particular social groups. The investigator will conduct an in-depth analysis across the New York City area. The research is embedded in the vulnerability concept and based on a network analytical approach. Impact networks are generated with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping, incorporating stakeholders perception to climate-related impacts, such as heat waves, storms, a.o. Network statistics and scenario analysis allow comparing the impacts on different socio-economic groups and quantifying the effectiveness of adaptation actions and policies. The proposed research capitalizes on recent research in Indian cities. The method was successfully tested and will be advanced and adjusted for other socio-economic environments. The proposed research will provide a new structured method for social impact studies, progress the understanding of social differences of climate-related impacts in urban areas, built-up and complement an impact library, and deliver quantified results to impacts and adaptation options for the City of New York.

拟议的研究涉及应用气候科学中一些当前重要的研究需求：与气候有关的影响的社会差异、影响的量化以及针对特定社会群体的选定适应战略的量化和比较。调查员将在整个纽约市地区进行深入分析。这项研究是嵌入在脆弱性的概念和网络分析方法的基础上。影响网络是通过模糊认知图生成的，其中纳入了利益攸关方对热浪、风暴等气候相关影响的看法。通过网络统计和情景分析，可以比较对不同社会经济群体的影响，并量化适应行动和政策的有效性。拟议的研究利用了印度城市的最新研究。该方法已成功地得到测试，并将得到改进，并根据其他社会经济环境进行调整。拟议的研究将为社会影响研究提供一种新的结构化方法，促进对城市地区气候相关影响的社会差异的理解，建立和补充影响图书馆，并为纽约市的影响和适应方案提供量化结果。