RAPID: Assessing Vulnerabilities from Climate Change: Impacts of Water Provision, Power Relations and Perceptions of Risk on Ecohydrology in the Tampa Bay Region Socioecosystem

RAPID：评估气候变化的脆弱性：坦帕湾地区社会生态系统的供水、电力关系和风险认知对生态水文学的影响

• 批准号: 1251653
• 负责人: Rebecca Zarger
• 金额: $ 8.88万
• 依托单位: University of South Florida
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2012-09-15 至 2015-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1251653&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Assessing; Vulnerabilities; Climate; Change

Thr research supported by this award will build on activities supported by NSF Urban Long-Term Research Area (ULTRA-Ex) Award 0948986, which investigates how social organization and distribution of power in a socioecosystem-driven resource redistribution of a key resource, water, in the Tampa Bay metropolitan region. In previous work, the investigators have identified relationships among wetland ecohydrological conditions, water redistribution, social power, and perceptions of ecological change in the Tampa Bay regional socioecosystem. Through this award, they will develop and examine new scenarios regarding how this complex socioecological network might be modified by climate change. The investigators will focus their efforts on three core questions: (1) How have social organizations and distribution of power shaped current planning, perceptions of risk, and adaptation to climate change in the water provision system in Tampa Bay? (2) How do key stakeholders, decision makers, and residents perceive climate change vulnerabilities related to water quality and quantity in the Tampa Bay regional socioecosystem? (3) How will natural systems respond to regional socioecosystem-specific climate change scenarios that will impact water quality and quantity? They will collect and analyze quantitative and qualitative data on perceptions of risk and adaptive capacity of the region's water system to climate change through interviews with key stakeholders, and they will statistically downscale currently available Florida climate scenarios for the region. They will develop three climate change scenarios of varying impact (low, moderate, and high), building on existing scenarios, drawing on interview responses, and testing these scenarios by using surveys with a second sample of key stakeholders and residents to assess perceptions, acceptability, and adaptive capacities. They also will measure and analyze ecological indicators in order to model the biophysical behavior of the water systems under the varying climate change scenarios.The project will develop ethnographically informed scenarios of climate change impacts on water quality and quantity that will reveal power differentials, conflicting values, and institutional barriers that shape adaptive capacity, contributing to socioecological and political ecology theory. Research results will have fundamental research value and will be disseminated broadly through presentations at public meetings, easily accessible summary reports, and through formal interactions with project partners, such as Tampa Bay Water, the primary regional water-supply wholesaler, and the Southwest Florida Water Management District, the water-supply regulatory authority. Communication with research teams conducting similar projects at other ULTRA-Ex sites will facilitate development of more impactful measures and indicators of urban vulnerability to climate change. This project is supported with funds transferred to the National Science Foundation by the Environmental Protection Agency.

该奖项支持的研究将建立在NSF城市长期研究领域（ULTRA-Ex）奖0948986支持的活动的基础上，该奖项调查了坦帕湾大都市地区社会生态系统驱动的资源重新分配中的社会组织和权力分配。 在以前的工作中，调查人员已经确定了湿地生态水文条件，水再分配，社会权力，并在坦帕湾区域社会生态系统的生态变化的看法之间的关系。 通过这个奖项，他们将开发和研究关于这个复杂的社会生态网络如何被气候变化改变的新情景。 调查人员将集中精力在三个核心问题：（1）社会组织和权力分配如何塑造当前的规划，风险的看法，并适应气候变化的供水系统在坦帕湾？ (2)关键利益相关者、决策者和居民如何看待与坦帕湾区域社会生态系统水质和水量相关的气候变化脆弱性？ (3)自然系统将如何应对将影响水质和水量的区域社会生态系统特有的气候变化情景？ 他们将通过与主要利益相关者的访谈，收集和分析有关该地区水系统对气候变化的风险和适应能力的定量和定性数据，并将在统计上缩小该地区目前可用的佛罗里达气候情景。 他们将制定三种不同影响的气候变化情景（低，中，高），建立在现有的情景，利用访谈的反应，并测试这些情景，通过使用调查与第二个样本的关键利益相关者和居民评估的看法，可接受性和适应能力。 他们还将测量和分析生态指标，以模拟不同气候变化情景下水系统的生物物理行为。该项目将开发气候变化对水质和水量影响的民族志情景，揭示影响适应能力的权力差异，相互冲突的价值观和制度障碍，为社会生态和政治生态理论做出贡献。 研究结果将具有基础研究价值，并将通过公开会议上的演讲、易于获取的总结报告以及与项目合作伙伴（如主要区域供水批发商坦帕湾水务公司和供水监管机构西南佛罗里达水管理区）的正式互动进行广泛传播。 与在其他ULTRA-Ex站点开展类似项目的研究团队进行沟通，将有助于制定更具影响力的城市气候变化脆弱性措施和指标。 该项目由环境保护局转移到国家科学基金会的资金支持。