The North Slope Arctic Scenarios Project (NASP): Envisioning Desirable Futures and Strategizing Pathways for Sustainable Healthy Communities

ArcSEES关于北坡北极情景项目（NASP）的提案涉及北坡和西北北极自治市的多个组织和利益相关者，并与UAF、NSSI、ION和ANTHC合作。教师、学生和来自利益相关者社区的广泛专家将合作探索北方可持续发展的选择。NASP采用经过验证的先进方法，让北坡社区参与开发和分析未来的情景愿景和可行的途径，以有效地进行战略规划和实施政策。NASP在气候模式输出、观测网络的信息产品和不同知识系统的交叉点开发产品并应用新工具，以促进可持续的健康社区。NASP将确定特定情景的关键不确定性和指标变量(i)将其转化为北极观测系统优化的指导，以及（ii）综合情景衍生的发现、变量和空间明确的情景以及使用NSSI地理空间数据框架进行利益相关者规划的气候模式预测。该项目明确促进了实践社区（cop）的出现，吸引了中学和大学水平的教师和学生，并产生了有助于提高对北极变化的理解和观察的科学成果。

This ArcSEES proposal for the North Slope Arctic Scenarios Project (NASP) involves multiple organizations and stakeholders across the North Slope and Northwest Arctic Boroughs in partnership with UAF, NSSI, ION, and ANTHC. Faculty members, students, and a broad range of experts drawn from stakeholder communities will collaborate to explore options for sustainable development in the North. NASP employs proven and advanced approaches to engage North Slope communities in developing and analyzing scenarios visions for the future and plausible pathways - for effective strategic planning and implementation of policy. NASP develops products and applies new tools at the intersection of climate model output, information products from observing networks, and different knowledge systems to facilitate sustainable healthy communities. NASP will identify key uncertainties and indicator variables for specific scenarios (i) translating them into guidance for optimization of Arctic observing systems, and (ii) synthesizing scenarios-derived findings, variables and spatially explicit scenarios and climate model projections using the NSSI geospatial data framework for stakeholder planning. The project explicitly fosters the emergence of communities of practice (CoPs), engages teachers and students at the secondary and tertiary level, and generates scientific deliverables that contribute to improved understanding and observations of Arctic change.