Coastal SEES (Track 1), Collaborative: Chesapeake Bay Sustainability: Implications of changing climate and shifting management objectives

沿海 SEES（轨道 1），协作：切萨皮克湾可持续性：气候变化和管理目标转变的影响

• 批准号: 1325518
• 负责人: Carl Hershner
• 金额: $ 58.25万
• 依托单位: College of William & Mary Virginia Institute of Marine Science
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-09-01 至 2016-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1325518&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Coastal; SEES; Track; Collaborative; Chesapeake

This project aims to develop an advanced modeling framework that integrates the physical, biogeochemical, and human components needed to simulate and select climate change adaptation strategies that will support a sustainable system. It merges a fine resolution hydrodynamic model with a broader-scale whole-ecosystem model that is capable of simulating socioeconomic interactions to characterize human-natural linkages in the system. The research specifically uses hypothetical alterations to the Chesapeake Bay designed to reduce storm surge to examine the impacts on estuarine dynamics, fisheries production, and potential flooding risks, with emphasis on feedbacks to the human system.The conceptual framework for the project is an examination of the physical, chemical, and biological consequences of an alteration of the estuarine system designed to reduce risks in the linked human system. The focus of the proposed work is simulation of the intervention?s impacts on fisheries production and potential flooding risks, both feedbacks to the human system. This work directly addresses the issue of risk mitigation through physical alterations of estuarine systems potentially confounding current efforts to sustain water quality and fisheries production. Informing the policy and management decisions will require this type of enhanced modeling tools and expanded understanding of system responses.This project brings together researchers with complementary strengths in the essential modeling efforts and the subsequent translation to policy guidance. The project will provide two senior graduate students training in interdisciplinary research on issues of sustainability, and it will provide course materials for other graduate students working in the Center for Coastal Resources Management at VIMS and the Coastal Policy Law Clinic at William & Mary. Because the project will be managed from the Center for Coastal Resources Management at VIMS, the products and insights developed will have a unique connection to the coastal management and policy communities in Chesapeake Bay. The results of this project will be incorporated into the formal guidance, the outreach education programs, and the online data provided to local and state government personnel by the Center, thus ensuring the direct translation of project products to management and policy. In addition, because these topics are currently of great interest to a wide variety of public and private entities, there are opportunities for outreach education sessions to increase the understanding of sustainability concepts, policy options, and management challenges across a wide spectrum of stakeholders including state legislators, NGO staffs, and private citizensThis project is supported under NSF's Coastal SEES (Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability) program.

该项目旨在开发一个高级建模框架，该框架整合了模拟和选择将支持可持续系统的气候变化适应策略所需的物理，生物地球化学和人类组件。它将精细的分辨率流体动力模型与更广泛的全生态系统模型合并，该模型能够模拟社会经济相互作用以表征系统中的人类自然联系。这项研究专门对切萨皮克湾进行了假设的改变，旨在减少风暴潮，以检查对河口动力学，渔业生产和潜在的洪水风险的影响，重点是对人类系统的反馈。该项目的概念框架是对人类体系变化的物理，化学，化学和生物学后果的检查，以降低人类系统的变化。拟议工作的重点是模拟干预措施对渔业生产和潜在洪水风险的影响，这都是对人类系统的反馈。这项工作直接解决了通过河口系统的身体改变来解决风险降低的问题，这可能会混淆当前的水质和渔业生产的努力。告知政策和管理决策将需要这种增强的建模工具，并扩展对系统响应的理解。该项目将研究人员汇集到基本建模工作中的互补优势以及随后转化为政策指导。该项目将为可持续性问题提供两名高级研究生跨学科研究培训，并将为在VIMS沿海资源管理中心工作的其他研究生和William＆Mary的沿海政策法诊所提供课程材料。 由于该项目将由VIMS沿海资源管理中心进行管理，因此开发的产品和见解将与切萨皮克湾的沿海管理和政策社区建立独特的联系。该项目的结果将纳入正式指导，外展教育计划以及中心向地方和州政府人员提供的在线数据中，从而确保将项目产品直接转换为管理和政策。此外，由于这些主题目前对各种各样的公共和私人实体引起了极大的兴趣，因此有机会进行外展教育会议，以增加对可持续性概念，政策选择和管理挑战的理解，包括国家立法者，非政府组织员工以及NSF的沿海地区沿海地区（Science，Engineering）的各种私人公民（包括国家立法员工和私人公民）项目的支持。