Doctoral Dissertation Research: New Political Parties, Societal Linkages and Developing Stable Ties with Voters

这个项目为选民如何成为党派提供了一个新的解释。PI研究了新政党的不同发展轨迹，并提出了一个问题，为什么有些政党能够在社会中扎根，迅速与选民建立稳定的关系，并随着时间的推移在选举中取得成功，而另一些政党却未能做到这一点。大多数先前的研究都集中在政党对选民的直接吸引力上。这项研究还从不同类型的直接诉求来解释成功，这些诉求是围绕社会分裂组织起来的。党和社会组织之间的稳定关系，也可能使组织成员依附于党，并使其社会认同党。PI认为，组织联系可以产生更稳定的选民-政党关系和支持基础。PI用一种多方法策略来检验他的论点。这项研究有助于我们理解传统上被边缘化的群体是如何通过政党进入选举舞台的。本项目考察了新政党的不同发展轨迹，并探究为什么有些政党能够在社会中扎根，迅速与选民建立稳定的关系，并随着时间的推移在选举中取得成功，而另一些政党却未能做到这一点。大多数先前的研究都集中在政党对选民的直接吸引力上。这项研究还从不同类型的直接诉求来解释成功，这些诉求是围绕社会分裂组织起来的。党和社会组织之间的稳定关系，也可能使组织成员依附于党，并使其社会认同党。PI认为，组织联系可以产生更稳定的选民-政党关系和支持基础。PI使用多方法策略来验证他的论点，整合了政党支持的微观基础的联合实验，玻利维亚、厄瓜多尔和墨西哥新政党的比较案例研究，调查数据的统计分析；生态推理利用新的数据集。该项目增进了我们对新政党的了解，并有助于努力促进对广大人口群体负责的持续代表权。

General SummaryThis project offers a new explanation of how voters become partisans. The PI examines the different trajectories of new parties and asks why some are able to take root in society, establish stable ties with voters quickly, and successfully compete in elections over time, while others fail to do so. Most prior research focuses on parties' direct appeals to voters. This research also explains success in terms of different types of direct appeals to groups that organize around social cleavages. Stable ties between a party and societal organizations may also attach organization members to that party and socialize them into identifying with it. The PI argues that organizational linkages can yield more stable voter-party ties and support bases. The PI test his argument using a multi-method strategy. This research contributes to our understanding of how traditionally marginalized groups are incorporated into the electoral arena through parties.Technical SummaryThis project examines the different trajectories of new parties and asks why some are able to take root in society, establish stable ties with voters quickly, and successfully compete in elections over time, while others fail to do so. Most prior research focuses on parties' direct appeals to voters. This research also explains success in terms of different types of direct appeals to groups that organize around social cleavages. Stable ties between a party and societal organizations may also attach organization members to that party and socialize them into identifying with it. The PI argues that organizational linkages can yield more stable voter-party ties and support bases. The PI test his argument using a multi-method strategy, integrating conjoint experiments on the microfoundations of party support, comparative case studies of new parties in Bolivia, Ecuador, and Mexico, statistical analysis of survey data; and ecological inference leveraging a new data set. This project advances our understanding of new parties and contributes to efforts to promote sustained representation that is accountable to broad population segments.