Assessing Community Resilience Through Integrating and Modeling Human Geography

这个探索性研究早期概念拨款（EAGER）项目将设计一个分析模型，用于评估社区的复原力，并分析危机或灾难对人口的多维影响。该研究将为网络理论以及网络特征如何影响社区内危害和风险预警的传播提供新的见解。这一努力的结果将为规划和应对提供替代方法，并为分析随着危机展开而发生的社会网络结构的动态变化奠定基础。项目研究结果将为急救人员、地方和州政府提供以创新和有效的方式可视化和动员其社区和人力资本的能力。该项目还为加强公共和私营部门在灾害规划方面的合作、建立可信的通信网络以及改善私营部门之间的资源协调提供了潜力。调动人力资本是任何救灾行动中最具挑战性的方面。本研究采用了一种新颖的方法来分析民间紧急情况，解决了单一民间灾害事件对社区造成的负面社会、经济和心理影响的成本这一核心问题。该研究将采用混合方法、多学科方法，对国内灾难的经济、社会、心理和安全成本进行全方位的影响分析。在进行影响分析之后，将通过整合人力资本数据库对社区的反应、复原力和适应能力进行评估。这项研究的结果可能潜在地改变评估灾害反应和经济成本分析的分析方法。

This EArly-Concept Grant for Exploratory Research (EAGER) project will design an analytic model for assessing a community's resilience and analyzing the multi-dimensional effects of a crisis or disaster on the population. The research will provide new insights into network theory and how network characteristics affect transmission of hazard and risk warnings within communities. The outcomes of this effort will provide alternate approaches to planning and response, and develop the foundation for analyzing dynamic changes in social network structure that occur as crises unfold. Project findings will provide first responders, local, and state governments with the capacity to visualize and mobilize their communities and human capital in innovative and effective ways. The project also offers the potential to enhance public and private sector collaboration for disaster planning, build trusted communications networks, and improve coordination of resources across the private sector.The mobilization of human capital is the most challenging facet of any response to a disaster. This research adopts a novel approach for analyzing civil emergencies by addressing the core question of the cost - broadly defined in terms of the negative social, economic and psychological impacts - of a single civil disaster event on a community. The research will employ a mixed-methods, multi-disciplinary approach to conduct a full spectrum of impact analyses on the economic, social, psychological, and security costs of a civil disaster. The impact analyses will be followed by an assessment of the response, resiliency, and adaptability of the community through the integration of the human capital database. Findings from this research could potentially transform analytical approaches in evaluating the response and economic cost analyses of disasters.