SEES Fellows: Modeling for sustainability in a changing environment: Emerging infectious diseases

SEES 研究员：在不断变化的环境中建立可持续发展模型：新出现的传染病

• 批准号: 1660530
• 负责人: Carrie Manore
• 金额: $ 7.72万
• 依托单位: New Mexico Consortium
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2016-08-01 至 2018-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1660530&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: SEES; Fellows; Modeling; sustainability; changing

In this Award from the NSF Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability Fellows (SEES Fellows Program) Dr. Carrie A. Manore from Tulane University will study the impact of changes in the environment upon the risks for emerging infectious diseases, in particular zoonotic and vector-borne diseases. This award has support from: the Directorate for Computer & Information Science and Engineering, the Division of Mathematical Sciences in the Directorate for Mathematical and Physical Sciences, and the Office of International and Integrative Activities, and the Office of Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR).The proposed work will create a hierarchy of multi-scale, integrative models incorporating nonlinear systems of differential equations, ecological networks, and agent-based models to provide a framework for understanding and mitigating risk of emerging infectious diseases in a spatially heterogeneous environment. In particular, the research will focus on a few emerging or potentially emerging infectious diseases in the United States, including West Nile virus, dengue, Rift Valley fever, hantavirus and chikungunya, with an emphasis on how human mobility, climate, and disturbance of the environment modify risk.The aim of modeling studies like that proposed in work is to inform how emerging disease risk can be mitigated by sustainable management of the environment, including better planning of urban and agricultural expansion, more effective and efficient public health strategies such as use of new technology, increased surveillance and data sharing, and informed choices about human manipulation of the environment and the importance of biodiversity. The ultimate aim of work like this is to better inform policy makers about these new and emerging risks. Dr. Manore will be working with collaborators J. "Mac" Hyman of Tulane University and Christopher Mores, Department of Pathobiological Sciences at Louisiana State University, and additional scientists at Pennsylvania State University and Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. Manore will also be mentoring graduate and undergraduate students in this project, including students from underrepresented groups.This project is supported under the NSF Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability Fellows (SEES Fellows) program, with the goal of helping to enable discoveries needed to inform actions that lead to environmental, energy and societal sustainability while creating the necessary workforce to address these challenges. With SEES Fellows support, this project will enable a promising early career researcher to establish themselves in an independent research career related to sustainability.

在这个奖项由美国国家科学基金会科学，工程和教育的可持续发展研究员（SEES研究员计划）博士凯莉A。杜兰大学的Manore将研究环境变化对新出现的传染病风险的影响，特别是人畜共患和病媒传播的疾病。 该奖项得到了以下机构的支持：计算机&信息科学与工程理事会、数学与物理科学理事会数学科学处、国际和综合活动办公室以及刺激竞争性研究实验计划办公室（EPSCoR）。拟议的工作将创建一个多尺度、综合模型的层次结构，其中包括微分方程、生态网络、和基于代理人的模型，为理解和减轻空间异构环境中新出现的传染病的风险提供框架。 特别是，研究将集中在美国的一些新出现或潜在的传染病，包括西尼罗河病毒，登革热，裂谷热，汉坦病毒和基孔肯雅热，重点是人类流动性，气候，和环境的干扰修改风险。建模研究的目的，如在工作中提出的，是告知如何通过可持续的管理，环境，包括更好地规划城市和农业扩张，更有效和高效的公共卫生战略，如使用新技术，增加监测和数据共享，以及对人类操纵环境和生物多样性的重要性作出知情选择。 此类工作的最终目的是让政策制定者更好地了解这些新的和正在出现的风险。 Manore博士将与杜兰大学的J.“Mac”Hyman和路易斯安那州立大学病理生物科学系的Christopher Mores以及宾夕法尼亚州立大学和洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室的其他科学家合作。 Manore博士还将指导该项目的研究生和本科生，包括来自代表性不足群体的学生。该项目由NSF科学，工程和可持续发展教育研究员（SEES Fellows）计划支持，旨在帮助实现所需的发现，为导致环境，能源和社会可持续发展的行动提供信息，同时创造必要的劳动力来应对这些挑战。在SEES研究员的支持下，该项目将使一个有前途的早期职业研究人员能够在与可持续发展相关的独立研究生涯中建立自己的地位。