Uncertainty and Youth Well-being

这项研究扩大了对不确定性增加如何影响青年幸福感的科学理解。在一个一些年轻人经历不确定性而另一些年轻人没有的社区中，有机会分析不确定性的变化是否、如何以及在多大程度上影响年轻人。这项研究的结果将为联邦、州和地方各级关于如何提高面临不同程度不确定性的年轻人的幸福感的讨论提供信息。这项研究将使用通过加州健康访谈调查从2007-2016年(n=238,000)收集的具有代表性的加利福尼亚州全州范围内的多波数据，并在发布后增加年份。该项目将通过比较有和没有受到不确定性影响的年轻人来估计不确定性的影响。它将纵向跟踪这两组年轻人。研究结果包括就业状况、受教育程度和成就，以及身心健康的各种衡量标准。此外，该项目将研究溢出效应对更广泛的社区的影响。为了进一步分析调查结果，该项目将对加州社区的502名年轻人进行原创的纵向调查和深入访谈研究。该项目将比较2014至2020年间这些青年的主要成果，从而可以对早期事件对后来结果的影响进行因果推断。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

This study expands scientific understanding of how an increase in uncertainty affects youth well-being. In a community in which some youth experience uncertainty and others do not, there is an opportunity to analyze whether, how, and to what extent changes in uncertainty affect youth. The findings from this study will inform discussions at the federal, state, and local levels about ways to increase well-being among youth, who face varying levels of uncertainty. This study will use multiple waves of representative California statewide data collected via the California Health Interview Survey from 2007-2016 (n=238,000), with subsequent years added as they are released. The project will estimate the impact of uncertainty by comparing youth who are and are not subject to uncertainty. It will follow both groups of youth longitudinally. Study outcomes include employment status, educational enrollment and attainment, and various measures of physical and psychological well-being. In addition, the project will examine spillover effects to the broader community. To further analyze findings, the project will produce an original longitudinal survey and in-depth interview study of 502 young people from the community in California. The project will compare key outcomes of these youth over the period between 2014 and 2020, thus allowing causal inferences regarding the impact of earlier events on later outcomes.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.