Integrating Marine Seismic and Ocean Drilling Results with three-dimensional dynamic models of Subduction Initiation

将海洋地震和海洋钻探结果与俯冲起始的三维动态模型相结合

• 批准号: 2049086
• 负责人: Michael Gurnis
• 金额: $ 35.16万
• 依托单位: California Institute of Technology
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-01-01 至 2024-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2049086&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Integrating; Marine; Seismic; Ocean; Drilling

This project seeks to better understand a process called subduction. Subduction is where cold oceanic plates return to Earth’s interior. Plate subduction is a key geological process responsible for the largest forces on tectonic plates, the site of the most destructive earthquakes on the planet and leads to much of the volcanism on Earth’s surface. The project will look at the process of forming a new subduction zone, which is called subduction initiation. Subduction initiation is poorly understood but is associated with the largest changes in the forces which both drive and resist plate tectonic motions. Although many aspects of plate tectonics are understood, subduction initiation remains a key unknown and there has been a concerted effort in the last few years to understand this process through marine geological and geophysical research. This project will synthesize the recent marine research with what are called plate tectonic reconstructions and incorporate that information into computational models. Some of the key evidence that constrains the process has come from deep sea drilling and through marine seismic surveys. These data constrain the details of the geological evolution and present-day structure of the sites of subduction initiation, respectively. The project will focus on four sites of recent or on-going subduction initiation: Izu-Bonin Mariana south of Japan, Tonga Kermadec in the southwest Pacific, Puysegur south of New Zealand and Matthews-Hunter near Fiji also in the southwest Pacific. It has recently been discovered through ocean drilling that the Izu-Bonin-Mariana and the Tonga-Kermadec subduction zones may have initiated at the same time despite being separated by several thousand miles and were associated with a major change in the motion of the Pacific Plate. This project will look at the details of how these subduction zones formed in terms of the basic physics of solid and fluid mechanics. During subduction initiation, the so-called mega thrust fault, the site of destructive great earthquakes, forms. It is thought that such a new megathrust is in the process of forming south of New Zealand. In this project sophisticated computational methods, call finite elements, will be used and will use the largest supercomputers supported by the National Science Foundation. During the project, a graduate student will be trained in computational methods, which are widely applicable to many areas of science and engineering. The investigator will work with the Caltech Seismo Lab Outreach and Social Media office to communicate science to the broad, diverse community of the Los Angeles community, including through visits to local public schools. The initiation of new subduction zones is a key component of plate tectonics but remains an unsolved problem. With subducted slabs being the primary force driving plate motions, formation of new subduction zones and demise of existing ones are associated with the largest changes in the forces on tectonic plates. There was an ocean basin-wide tectonic change in the Pacific at about 50 Ma with initiation of IBM and Tonga-Kermadec synchronous with a change in plate motions. This project will squarely address these fundamental problems by exploiting the recently expanded observational record from deep sea drilling and marine seismic surveys. The team of geoscientists will test concepts for the initiation of subduction by comparing observations against a new generation of 3D, time-dependent geodynamic models. With the observational constraints on subduction initiation through ocean drilling and marine seismic surveys jumping forward over the last six years simultaneous with a commensurate maturing of software and computational hardware, the time is ideal to readdress the mechanics of subduction initiation. The investigators will build detailed regional plate tectonic reconstructions (data models) for four western Pacific subduction initiation events: Izu-Bonin Mariana (IBM), Tonga Kermadec, Puysegur and Matthews-Hunter. The Puysegur subduction zone (offshore New Zealand) is an ideal natural laboratory for testing the mechanics of subduction initiation with its well-constrained plate kinematics, structural controls, stress evolution, vertical motions, and distribution of faults. These reconstructions provide essential initial and boundary conditions and allow for rigorous comparisons between geodynamic models and geological and geophysical observations. The finite element method will be used for the solution of these inherently time-dependent, multi-scale problems and achieve the resolutions required to track the localization of deformation key for systems with plastic failure. The visco-elastoplastic models will have thermal and compositional buoyancy and explicit sub-scale models of weakening, dislocation creep, and partial melting. The team will constrain, slab strength, stress propagation, plastic failure and fault zone nucleation (weakening mechanisms associated with grain evolution and sperpentinization) from time-dependent models with plate motions for Puysegur since 15 Ma and Matthews-Hunter since 2 Ma. The team will determine the conditions needed to initiate the IBM arc at 52 Ma over 100-1,000 km of strike such that the initial magmatic signal is synchronous within a few Myrs. For IBM, the rate at which driving forces grow and are transmitted to the Pacific plate will be addressed. The project will reach a new level of integration between dynamic flow models, plate kinematics and MG&G data that could have broad application. The work could impact several large programs. The geodynamic hypotheses could result in predictions that could be tested with deep sea drilling under the auspices of IODP.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

这个项目旨在更好地理解一个被称为俯冲的过程。俯冲是指寒冷的大洋板块回到地球内部。板块俯冲是一个关键的地质过程，造成了构造板块上最大的作用力，地球上最具破坏性的地震发生在构造板块上，并导致了地球表面的大部分火山活动。该项目将研究形成一个新的俯冲带的过程，这被称为俯冲起始。人们对俯冲起作用知之甚少，但它与驱动和抵抗板块构造运动的力的最大变化有关。尽管人们已经了解了板块构造的许多方面，但俯冲起始仍然是一个关键的未知问题，在过去的几年里，人们通过海洋地质和地球物理研究共同努力来了解这一过程。这个项目将把最近的海洋研究与所谓的板块构造重建结合起来，并将这些信息纳入计算模型。一些限制这一进程的关键证据来自深海钻探和海洋地震调查。这些数据分别限制了地质演化和俯冲起始地点的现代结构的细节。该项目将重点关注最近或正在发生俯冲的四个地点：日本南部的Izu-Bonin Mariana，西南太平洋的Tonga Kermadec，新西兰南部的Puysegur和西南太平洋斐济附近的Matthews-Hunter。最近通过海洋钻探发现，伊豆-波宁-马里亚纳和汤加-克马德克俯冲带可能是同时形成的，尽管它们相隔数千英里，而且与太平洋板块运动的一次重大变化有关。这个项目将从固体和流体力学的基本物理角度来研究这些俯冲带是如何形成的。在俯冲开始期间，所谓的巨型逆冲断层，即破坏性大地震的发生地，形成了。据认为，这样一个新的巨型逆冲构造正在新西兰南部形成。在这个项目中，将使用称为有限元的复杂计算方法，并将使用由国家科学基金会支持的最大的超级计算机。在项目期间，研究生将接受计算方法的训练，这些方法广泛适用于许多科学和工程领域。研究人员将与加州理工学院地震实验室外展和社交媒体办公室合作，向洛杉矶社区广泛、多样化的社区传播科学，包括访问当地的公立学校。新的俯冲带的形成是板块构造的一个重要组成部分，但仍是一个未解决的问题。由于俯冲板块是推动板块运动的主要力量，新的俯冲带的形成和现有俯冲带的消亡与板块受力的最大变化有关。在大约50 Ma的时候，太平洋发生了一次海洋盆地范围的构造变化，IBM和Tonga-Kermadec的开始与板块运动的变化同步。该项目将通过利用最近扩大的深海钻探和海洋地震调查的观测记录，直接解决这些基本问题。地球科学家团队将通过将观测结果与新一代三维、随时间变化的地球动力学模型进行比较，来验证俯冲开始的概念。在过去的六年中，随着海洋钻探和海洋地震调查对俯冲开始的观测限制的不断增加，同时软件和计算硬件也相应成熟，现在是重新解决俯冲开始机制的理想时机。研究人员将为四个西太平洋俯冲起始事件建立详细的区域板块构造重建（数据模型）：Izu-Bonin Mariana （IBM）、Tonga Kermadec、Puysegur和Matthews-Hunter。Puysegur俯冲带（新西兰近海）是一个理想的天然实验室，可以通过其良好的板块运动学、构造控制、应力演化、垂直运动和断层分布来测试俯冲起始机制。这些重建提供了必要的初始条件和边界条件，并允许在地球动力学模型与地质和地球物理观测之间进行严格的比较。有限元方法将用于解决这些固有的时间相关的多尺度问题，并实现跟踪塑性破坏系统的变形关键局部化所需的分辨率。粘弹塑性模型将具有热浮力和成分浮力，以及明确的弱化、位错蠕变和部分熔化的亚尺度模型。该团队将根据Puysegur自15 Ma以来的板块运动和Matthews-Hunter自2 Ma以来的板块运动的时间依赖模型，约束，板强度，应力传播，塑性破坏和断裂带成核（与晶粒演化和sperpentinization相关的弱化机制）。该团队将确定在100- 1000公里的范围内以52毫安启动IBM弧所需的条件，这样初始岩浆信号在几英里内是同步的。对于IBM来说，驱动力的增长速度和传递到太平洋板块的速度将得到解决。该项目将在动态流动模型、板块运动学和MG&amp；G数据之间达到一个新的集成水平，可以有广泛的应用。这项工作可能会影响到几个大型项目。地球动力学假设可能会产生预测结果，这些预测可以在IODP的主持下通过深海钻探进行测试。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

项目成果

Strike slip motion and the triggering of subduction initiation

• DOI: 10.3389/feart.2023.1156034
• 发表时间: 2023-04
• 作者: Yida Li;M. Gurnis

A simple force balance model of subduction initiation

俯冲起始的简单力平衡模型

• DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggac332
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Geophysical Journal International
• 影响因子: 2.8
• 作者: Li, Yida;Gurnis, Michael
• 通讯作者: Gurnis, Michael