Collaborative Research: Economic Downturns, Global Pandemics and Parliamentary Elections
合作研究:经济衰退、全球流行病和议会选举
基本信息
- 批准号:2049595
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 33.91万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:美国
- 项目类别:Standard Grant
- 财政年份:2021
- 资助国家:美国
- 起止时间:2021-02-15 至 2024-01-31
- 项目状态:已结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
Under what conditions do voters withdraw or withhold their support from governments and how do economic and pandemic stressors affect popular support for governments and political leaders? This project advances understanding of how electoral rules, electoral integrity, perceptions of regime popularity and longevity, and the nature of electoral alternatives shape government support. Using surveys timed to Russia’s 2021 parliamentary election and including questions from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems, this project extends the longest running election study in an autocratic setting and the only covering an extended period of retreat from democracy. The data from this project are an important resource for scholars of authoritarianism, comparative electoral behavior, and political parties, and its findings are also relevant to journalists, policymakers and the public. Existing scholarship gives good reason to believe that declining popular support can undermine regimes around the world. However, the precise nature of these processes and the long-term developments that lead to regime change remain poorly understood. This study uses a nationally representative panel survey conducted before and after Russia’s 2021 State Duma election to advance knowledge on two of the most consequential forms of political behavior and politically salient metrics of a regime’s popular support: turnout and vote choice. The project’s theoretical contribution focuses on key differences in how voters process information about government performance and assess available political alternatives, with special attention to how polarization, preference falsification, and voters’ emotional states affect their interpretation of new information during crises.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
在什么情况下,选民会撤回或不支持政府?经济和疫情压力因素如何影响民众对政府和政治领导人的支持?该项目促进了对选举规则、选举诚信、对政权受欢迎程度和寿命的看法以及选举替代方案的性质如何塑造政府支持的理解。该项目利用俄罗斯2021年议会选举的调查,包括选举制度比较研究的问题,扩展了专制环境中持续时间最长的选举研究,也是唯一一个涵盖长期退出民主的研究。该项目的数据是权威主义、比较选举行为和政党学者的重要资源,其研究结果也与记者、政策制定者和公众有关。现有的学术研究有充分的理由相信,民众支持率的下降会破坏世界各地的政权。然而,人们对这些进程的确切性质以及导致政权更迭的长期事态发展仍然知之甚少。这项研究使用了在俄罗斯2021年国家杜马选举之前和之后进行的具有全国代表性的小组调查,以提高对两种最重要的政治行为形式和政权民众支持的政治显著指标的认识:投票率和投票选择。该项目的理论贡献集中在选民如何处理有关政府绩效的信息和评估可用的政治选择方面的关键差异,特别关注极化,偏好伪造,这个奖项反映了NSF的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的智力价值进行评估,被认为值得支持和更广泛的影响审查标准。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(1)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
Survey research in Russia: in the shadow of war
俄罗斯调查研究:战争阴影下
- DOI:10.1080/1060586x.2022.2151767
- 发表时间:2022
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:2.2
- 作者:Rosenfeld, Bryn
- 通讯作者:Rosenfeld, Bryn
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Bryn Rosenfeld其他文献
State Dependency and the Limits of Middle Class Support for Democracy
国家依赖性和中产阶级对民主支持的局限性
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2020 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:5
- 作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld - 通讯作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld
The Popularity Costs of Economic Crisis under Electoral Authoritarianism: Evidence from Russia
选举威权主义下经济危机的民意成本:来自俄罗斯的证据
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2018 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld - 通讯作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld
The Autocratic Middle Class
独裁的中产阶级
- DOI:
10.2307/j.ctv12fw7bx.4 - 发表时间:
2020 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld - 通讯作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld
Varieties of Middle Class Growth and Democratic Preference Formation
中产阶级增长的多样性和民主偏好的形成
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2015 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld - 通讯作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld
Protest Participation and Attitude Change: Evidence from Ukraine’s Euromaidan Revolution
抗议参与和态度转变:乌克兰亲欧盟革命的证据
- DOI:
10.1086/716302 - 发表时间:
2021 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Grigore Pop;Graeme B. Robertson;Bryn Rosenfeld - 通讯作者:
Bryn Rosenfeld
Bryn Rosenfeld的其他文献
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