Collaborative Research: NSFGEO-NERC: C-FORCE Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks from Response to Carbon Emissions

古新世-始新世最高温度(PETM)是大约5600万年前的一次全球变暖事件。PETM恰逢大火山活动，当时北大西洋的开放导致了北大西洋火成岩省的形成。然而，尚不清楚跨PETM的大气二氧化碳增加有多大比例是由火山作用引起的。目前也不清楚碳循环反馈是否影响了二氧化碳的增加。该项目将使用地球物理、地球化学和数值模拟技术来量化整个PETM的全球净碳循环反馈。该项目的美国参与者将生成详细的海洋化学新记录，并开发新的建模策略。总而言之，这些将有助于确定火山排放是否能够解释PETM环境变化的规模和速度。该项目将支持加州大学圣克鲁斯分校的一名博士后研究员，并将为加州大学河滨分校的本科生提供支持和实习研究机会。这是一个由国家科学基金会地球科学理事会(NSF/GEO)和英国国家环境研究理事会(NERC)通过NSF/GEO-NERC牵头机构协议共同资助的项目。该协定允许美国和英国提交一个单一的联合提案，并由该机构进行同行审查，该机构的调查员在预算中所占比例最大。在成功地联合确定一个奖项后，每个机构将为预算的比例和与其本国相关的调查人员提供资金。为了解决全球变暖的碳循环反馈中的不确定性，该项目将衡量全球碳循环在过去全球变暖时期的反应，这段时期是由向大气排放碳基温室气体所驱动的。古新世-始新世最热(PETM)是过去6500万年来最大的自然气候变化事件，也是最接近现代全球变暖和碳温室气体排放速度的自然模拟事件。在PETM期间，最初的全球变暖在几千年内达到4-5摄氏度，部分原因是一次异常巨大的火山活动产生的碳排放，然后气候在10万多年的时间里逐渐恢复到以前的状态。该项目将使用一种新的全球碳循环模型，将火山活动提供的碳与PETM总碳预算进行比较；这两个预算之间的差异可以归因于碳循环反馈。首先，项目团队将通过测量产生岩浆的过程，对整个PETM火山活动向大气提供碳的速率做出新的高分辨率估计。下一步，新的高分辨率海洋酸化记录将限制对导致气候变化的大气碳排放总额的计算。最后，碳循环建模将使进行这两套测量的科学家能够有效地对接，首次解决全球净碳循环反馈问题。此外，由于地球碳库的同位素组成不同，该项目将确定哪些碳库在PETM过程中最有可能充当碳源或碳汇。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) was a global warming event roughly 56 million years ago. The PETM coincided with major volcanism, when opening of the North Atlantic Ocean led to the formation of the North Atlantic Igneous Province. However, it is not clear what fraction of the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide across the PETM was caused by volcanism. It is also unclear whether carbon cycle feedbacks influenced the carbon dioxide increase. This project will use geophysical, geochemical, and numerical modeling techniques to quantify the net global carbon cycle feedbacks across the PETM. The project’s US participants will generate detailed new records of ocean chemistry and develop novel modeling strategies. Together, these will help determine whether volcanic emissions can explain the magnitude and pace of PETM environmental change. This project will support a postdoctoral researcher at UC Santa Cruz and will provide support and internship research opportunities for undergraduate students from UC Riverside. This is a project that is jointly funded by the National Science Foundation’s Directorate of Geosciences (NSF/GEO) and the National Environment Research Council (NERC) of the United Kingdom (UK) via the NSF/GEO-NERC Lead Agency Agreement. This Agreement allows a single joint US/UK proposal to be submitted and peer-reviewed by the Agency whose investigator has the largest proportion of the budget. Upon successful joint determination of an award, each Agency funds the proportion of the budget and the investigators associated with its own country.To address uncertainties in carbon cycle feedbacks on a warming planet, the project will measure how the global carbon cycle responded during a past period of global warming that was driven by emissions of carbon-based greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is the largest natural climate change event of the last 65 million years, and the closest natural analog to the modern rates of global warming and carbon greenhouse gas emissions. During the PETM, initial global warming of 4-5 degrees C over a few thousand years was partially driven by carbon emissions from an unusually massive episode of volcanism, and the climate then gradually recovered to its pre-existing state over more than 100 thousand years. The project will use a novel model of the global carbon cycle to compare the carbon supplied by volcanism with the total PETM carbon budget; the difference between these two budgets can be attributed to carbon cycle feedbacks. First, the project team will make new high-resolution estimates of the rate at which volcanism supplied carbon to the atmosphere throughout the PETM by measuring the processes that generated the magma. Next, new high-resolution records of ocean acidification will constrain calculations of the total budget of carbon emissions to the atmosphere that caused the climate change. Finally, carbon cycle modeling will allow the scientists who make these two sets of measurements to interface effectively to solve the net global carbon cycle feedback problem for the first time. Furthermore, because Earth's carbon reservoirs differ in isotopic composition, this project will fingerprint which reservoirs most likely acted as carbon sources or sinks over the course of the PETM.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.