Collaborative Research: NSFGEO-NERC: C-FORCE Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks from Response to Carbon Emissions

合作研究：NSFGEO-NERC：碳排放响应的 C-FORCE 碳循环反馈

• 批准号: 2244896
• 负责人: James Zachos
• 金额: $ 30.36万
• 依托单位: University of California-Santa Cruz
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-11-15 至 2027-10-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2244896&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; NSFGEO; NERC; FORCE

The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) was a global warming event roughly 56 million years ago. The PETM coincided with major volcanism, when opening of the North Atlantic Ocean led to the formation of the North Atlantic Igneous Province. However, it is not clear what fraction of the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide across the PETM was caused by volcanism. It is also unclear whether carbon cycle feedbacks influenced the carbon dioxide increase. This project will use geophysical, geochemical, and numerical modeling techniques to quantify the net global carbon cycle feedbacks across the PETM. The project’s US participants will generate detailed new records of ocean chemistry and develop novel modeling strategies. Together, these will help determine whether volcanic emissions can explain the magnitude and pace of PETM environmental change. This project will support a postdoctoral researcher at UC Santa Cruz and will provide support and internship research opportunities for undergraduate students from UC Riverside. This is a project that is jointly funded by the National Science Foundation’s Directorate of Geosciences (NSF/GEO) and the National Environment Research Council (NERC) of the United Kingdom (UK) via the NSF/GEO-NERC Lead Agency Agreement. This Agreement allows a single joint US/UK proposal to be submitted and peer-reviewed by the Agency whose investigator has the largest proportion of the budget. Upon successful joint determination of an award, each Agency funds the proportion of the budget and the investigators associated with its own country.To address uncertainties in carbon cycle feedbacks on a warming planet, the project will measure how the global carbon cycle responded during a past period of global warming that was driven by emissions of carbon-based greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is the largest natural climate change event of the last 65 million years, and the closest natural analog to the modern rates of global warming and carbon greenhouse gas emissions. During the PETM, initial global warming of 4-5 degrees C over a few thousand years was partially driven by carbon emissions from an unusually massive episode of volcanism, and the climate then gradually recovered to its pre-existing state over more than 100 thousand years. The project will use a novel model of the global carbon cycle to compare the carbon supplied by volcanism with the total PETM carbon budget; the difference between these two budgets can be attributed to carbon cycle feedbacks. First, the project team will make new high-resolution estimates of the rate at which volcanism supplied carbon to the atmosphere throughout the PETM by measuring the processes that generated the magma. Next, new high-resolution records of ocean acidification will constrain calculations of the total budget of carbon emissions to the atmosphere that caused the climate change. Finally, carbon cycle modeling will allow the scientists who make these two sets of measurements to interface effectively to solve the net global carbon cycle feedback problem for the first time. Furthermore, because Earth's carbon reservoirs differ in isotopic composition, this project will fingerprint which reservoirs most likely acted as carbon sources or sinks over the course of the PETM.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

古新世-始新世最热期（英语：Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum，PETM）是大约5600万年前的全球变暖事件。PETM与主要的火山活动相吻合，当时北大西洋的开放导致了北大西洋火成岩省的形成。然而，目前尚不清楚整个PETM大气中二氧化碳的增加有多大比例是由火山活动引起的。目前还不清楚碳循环反馈是否影响了二氧化碳的增加。该项目将使用地球物理，地球化学和数值模拟技术来量化整个PETM的净全球碳循环反馈。该项目的美国参与者将产生详细的海洋化学新记录，并开发新的建模策略。总之，这些将有助于确定火山排放是否可以解释PETM环境变化的幅度和速度。该项目将支持加州大学圣克鲁斯的博士后研究员，并将为加州大学滨江的本科生提供支持和实习研究机会。这是一个由国家科学基金会地球科学理事会（NSF/GEO）和联合王国国家环境研究理事会（NERC）通过NSF/GEO-NERC牵头机构协议共同资助的项目。该协议允许美国/英国提交一份联合提案，并由研究者拥有最大预算比例的机构进行同行评审。在成功地共同确定一个奖项后，每个机构资助与其本国有关的预算和调查人员的比例，为了解决变暖的地球上碳循环反馈的不确定性，该项目将衡量全球碳循环在过去一段时间内如何应对全球变暖，这是由碳基温室气体排放到大气中造成的。古新世-始新世热峰（PETM）是过去6500万年来最大的自然气候变化事件，也是最接近现代全球变暖和碳温室气体排放速率的自然模拟。在PETM期间，数千年来最初的全球变暖4-5摄氏度，部分是由异常大规模火山活动的碳排放造成的，然后气候逐渐恢复到10万年前的状态。该项目将使用一种新的全球碳循环模型来比较火山活动提供的碳与PETM总碳预算;这两种预算之间的差异可以归因于碳循环反馈。首先，项目团队将通过测量产生岩浆的过程，对整个PETM期间火山活动向大气提供碳的速率进行新的高分辨率估计。其次，新的海洋酸化高分辨率记录将限制对导致气候变化的大气碳排放总量的计算。最后，碳循环建模将使进行这两组测量的科学家能够有效地对接，以首次解决净全球碳循环反馈问题。此外，由于地球的碳库在同位素组成上存在差异，该项目将确定哪些碳库最有可能在PETM过程中充当碳源或碳汇。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。