NNA Research: Collaborative Research: Socio-Ecological Systems Transformation in River basins of the sub-Arctic under climate change (SESTRA)

NNA 研究：合作研究：气候变化下亚北极河流流域的社会生态系统转型 (SESTRA)

• 批准号: 2318383
• 负责人: Vladimir Alexeev
• 金额: $ 50万
• 依托单位: University of Alaska Fairbanks Campus
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-09-01 至 2028-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2318383&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: NNA; Research; Collaborative; Socio; Ecological

Navigating the New Arctic (NNA) is one of NSF's 10 Big Ideas. NNA projects address convergence scientific challenges in the rapidly changing Arctic. This Arctic research is needed to inform the economy, security and resilience of the Nation, the larger region and the globe. NNA empowers new research partnerships from local to international scales, diversifies the next generation of Arctic researchers, enhances efforts in formal and informal education, and integrates the co-production of knowledge where appropriate. This award fulfills part of that aim by addressing interactions among social systems and natural systems in the following NNA focus areas: Arctic Residents, Data and Observation, Education, Forecasting, Global Impact, and Resilient Infrastructure.Certain parts of the globe are experiencing rapid environmental change coinciding with social and economic transformations. For example, given the vital role of water systems in cold regions, climate and socioeconomic changes have significantly impacted many riverine communities. Focusing on the Kuskokwim and Selenge river basins, located in remote parts of sub-Arctic Alaska and northern Eurasia (Mongolia), respectively, this project analyzes the changing interactions between climate, water, and society, with the goal of assessing their impact on people, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Researchers will also collaborate with impacted local and Indigenous communities to develop current and future adaptation options. Results from the project will be made available online for easy public access and so that impacted communities can make evidence-based decisions. Ultimately, this project will inform residents and policy makers on how changes in climate and water cycles impact people living in cold regions. Further, the results will recommend effective ways to deal with the current and future climate changes in the Arctic and sub-Arctic. Project results will help navigate the current and arising challenges of climate change and lay the foundation for future international community-driven collaboration. The Arctic and sub-Arctic are experiencing climate-induced environmental change alongside substantial social, economic, and institutional changes. This project seeks to analyze complex, dynamic linkages between different components of the changing hydroclimatological and social systems to improve our understanding of socio-ecological system (SES) interactions, assess their combined impact on human well-being, and co-develop current and future community adaptation options. This research, conducted by an interdisciplinary group, will advance understanding of linked hydroclimatic and human processes in the Arctic by: a) identifying and analyzing changes in hydroclimatological components of the natural system that affect human activities and ecosystem services, b) analyzing changes in riverine socioeconomic systems; c) conducting advanced community-engaged modeling based on the ecosystem services framework to understand interactions within the local and regional SES; d) exploring complex interactions and feedbacks within the SES; and e) providing scenarios for future SES changes and their impacts on ecosystem services and community adaptation options. The methodologies will combine transdisciplinary integration, engagement of Indigenous knowledge, multiscale analysis, and modeling, focusing on community- and stakeholder-engaged research, knowledge sharing, and implementing practical approaches to inter- and transdisciplinary challenges. This research will provide a set of plausible trajectories of human responses to climatic, social, economic, and political stressors developed for Alaskan and Mongolian regions and communities with implications for the broader Arctic and sub-Arctic. The project will involve Indigenous artists and develop an extensive training program for students and early career scientists.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

NSF的10个大创意之一是导航新北极（NNA）。 NNA项目应对北极快速变化的融合科学挑战。需要进行这项北极研究，以告知国家，较大地区和全球的经济，安全和弹性。 NNA赋予从本地量表到国际规模的新研究伙伴关系，使下一代北极研究人员多样化，加强了正规和非正式教育方面的努力，并在适当的情况下整合了知识的共同生产。该奖项通过解决以下NNA焦点领域中的社会系统和自然系统之间的互动来实现该目标的一部分：北极居民，数据和观察，教育，预测，全球影响和弹性基础架构。全球确定的部分正在经历与社会和经济转变相关的快速环境变化。例如，鉴于水系统在寒冷地区的重要作用，气候和社会经济变化对许多河流社区产生了重大影响。该项目分别关注位于阿拉斯加和北部欧亚大陆（蒙古）偏远地区的Kuskokwim和Selenge River盆地，该项目分别分析了气候，水和社会之间不断变化的相互作用，目的是评估它们对人，生态系统和基础架构的影响。研究人员还将与受影响的本地和土著社区合作，以开发当前和未来的适应选择。该项目的结果将在线提供，以便于公开访问，因此受影响的社区可以做出基于证据的决策。最终，该项目将向居民和政策制定者告知气候变化和水周期的变化如何影响居住在寒冷地区的人们。此外，结果将推荐有效的方法来应对北极和亚北极地区当前和未来的气候变化。项目结果将有助于应对气候变化的当前和引起的挑战，并为未来国际社会驱动的合作奠定基础。北极和亚北极地区正在经历气候引起的环境变化，以及实质性的社会，经济和制度变化。该项目旨在分析不断变化的氢化气候和社会系统的不同组成部分之间复杂而动态的联系，以提高我们对社会生态系统（SES）相互作用的理解，评估它们对人类福祉的综合影响，以及共同开发的当前和未来的社区适应选择。这项由跨学科小组进行的研究将通过以下方面提高对北极中连接的氢化气候和人类过程的了解： c）基于生态系统服务框架进行高级社区参与建模，以了解本地和区域SES内的互动； d）探索SES内的复杂相互作用和反馈； e）为未来的SES变化提供方案及其对生态系统服务和社区适应方案的影响。这些方法将结合跨学科的融合，土著知识的参与，多尺度分析和建模，重点关注社区和利益相关者参与的研究，知识共享以及实施实用方法，以实施跨学科挑战和跨学科挑战。这项研究将提供一系列对人类对气候，社会，经济和政治压力的反应的合理轨迹，为阿拉斯加和蒙古地区和社区开发，对北极和亚北极地区的广泛影响。该项目将涉及土著艺术家，并为学生和早期职业科学家制定广泛的培训计划。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并被认为是值得通过基金会的知识分子优点和更广泛影响的评估标准来通过评估来支持的。