EAGER: IMPRESS-U Adaptive Infrastructure Recovery from Repeated Shocks through Resilience Stress Testing in Ukraine

IMPRESS-U项目由NSF、爱沙尼亚研究委员会(ETAG)、立陶宛研究委员会(LMT)、波兰国家科学中心(NCN)、美国国家科学院和全球海军研究办公室(DoD)联合资助。这项研究将在多边国际伙伴关系中进行，该伙伴关系包括：佛罗里达大学(美国)、乌克兰国家科学院能源工程建模G.E.Pukhov研究所(PIMEE)、基耶夫(乌克兰)、乌克兰国立技术大学“伊戈尔·西科斯基基辅理工学院”(乌克兰)、格里威斯理论与应用信息学研究所(波兰)、米科拉斯·罗梅里斯大学(立陶宛)和塔林理工大学(爱沙尼亚)。美国部分的合作工作将由NSF OISE/OD和CEISE/CNS共同资助。非技术概述这笔资金是通过一项热切的提议授予的，支持在攻击下恢复能力(RRUA)框架的重要发展。该项目源于对新冠肺炎疫情、供应链脆弱性和地缘政治冲突等全球破坏的应对，具有重要意义。这项倡议侧重于乌克兰的数字服务部门，该部门由于持续的冲突而面临持续的外部冲击，这一倡议既及时又至关重要。主要目标是在乌克兰科学家和西方科学家之间建立联系，缓解地缘政治紧张局势造成的孤立，并培育一个致力于系统弹性的合作研究网络。该项目涉及由美国、乌克兰、波兰、爱沙尼亚和立陶宛组成的国际合作伙伴关系，采用了跨学科的方法，利用网络科学、弹性分析、可解释的人工智能和数字孪生技术。除了增强乌克兰的基础设施复原力外，该项目还渴望成为类似情况下全球复原力战略的蓝图。为了实现更广泛的影响，达拉斯-沃斯堡机场将作为RRUA最初的联合开发和培训试验台。RRUA的概念和方法将在波兰、爱沙尼亚和立陶宛的能源和通信基础设施进行测试，最终应用于乌克兰的数字基础设施。除了推进研究目标外，该项目还坚定不移地致力于促进科学和工程的包容性。它积极吸收乌克兰初级研究人员参与，促进他们融入全球科学界。教育机会将通过数字平台、研讨会和模拟游戏提供，与欧盟-乌克兰的活动保持一致。这些举措旨在提供独特的学习体验，培养具备应对复杂恢复力挑战的技能的新一代科学家，并与NSF促进国家健康、繁荣和福利的使命保持一致。TECHNICAL SUMMARY该NSF GENER项目奖旨在通过开发Resilience-Recovery by Attack(RRUA)框架来促进Resilience科学，重点关注乌克兰数字服务行业面临的独特挑战。RRUA框架引入了一种创新和全面的方法来研究复原力科学，目标是面对动态威胁和冲击的相互关联的相互关联的基础设施系统。因此，该项目代表着与强调预防的传统复原力战略的重大飞跃，而不是将恢复纳入复原力范例的核心组成部分。我们的目标是验证这样一个假设，即系统在受到威胁和系统响应阶段的恢复和弹性可以通过代表其系统功能的相互关联的网络的压力测试来量化。我们的目标是对在急性和持续冲击期间外部冲击下的复原力的生命周期提供新的见解，特别是量化每个复原力-反应阶段的关键控制器，以便提供有效的恢复干预措施。通过采用结合网络科学、弹性分析、可解释人工智能(XAI)和数字孪生技术的多方面方法，该项目寻求重新定义系统恢复建模和乌克兰各地互联基础设施的适应，受益于我们与美国、乌克兰、波兰、爱沙尼亚和立陶宛拟议的国际合作伙伴关系的共享知识。该项目采用了三管齐下的方法：在美国的一个国际机场使用数据丰富的分析来完善RRUA，在波兰、爱沙尼亚和立陶宛的试验台测试概念和方法，包括脆弱性的人类行为部分，然后在存在动态威胁和可变数据的情况下将RRUA整合到乌克兰的网络和能源基础设施系统中。成功可能会彻底改变乌克兰的复苏前景，将其定位为全球韧性战略的典范。我们的研究设计将协作性地探索如何在不同的环境下运作我们的RRUA框架。这一奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

This IMPRESS-U project is jointly funded by NSF, Estonian Research Council (ETAG), Research Council of Lithuania (LMT), National Science Center of Poland (NCN), US National Academy of Sciences, and Office of Naval Research Global (DoD). The research will be performed in a multilateral international partnership that unites the University of Florida (US), G.E. Pukhov Institute for Modelling in Energy Engineering of the NAS of Ukraine (PIMEE), Kiyv (Ukraine), National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute” (Ukraine), Institute of Theoretical & Applied Informatics, Gliwice (Poland), Mykolas Romeris University, Vilnius (Lithuania), and Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn (Estonia). US portion of the collaborative effort will be co-funded by NSF OISE/OD and CISE/CNS. NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY This funding is awarded through an EAGER proposal, supporting the vital development of the Resilience-Recovery Under Attack (RRUA) framework. Originating in response to global disruptions like the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain vulnerabilities, and geopolitical conflicts, the project holds significant importance. Focusing on Ukraine's digital services sector, which has faced persistent external shocks due to the ongoing conflict, this initiative is both timely and crucial. The primary objective is to establish connections between Ukrainian scientists and their counterparts in the West, mitigating the isolation caused by geopolitical tensions and fostering a collaborative research network dedicated to systemic resilience. Involving an international partnership comprising the USA, Ukraine, Poland, Estonia, and Lithuania, the project adopts an interdisciplinary approach, leveraging network science, resilience analytics, explainable AI, and digital twin technologies. Beyond enhancing Ukraine's infrastructural resilience, the project aspires to serve as a blueprint for global resilience strategies in analogous contexts.To achieve broader impact, the Dallas-Fort Worth airport will function as the initial RRUA testbed for co-development and training. The RRUA concept and methods will undergo testing in Poland, Estonia, and Lithuania's energy and communications infrastructure, culminating in their application to Ukraine's digital infrastructure. In addition to advancing research goals, this project is steadfast in its commitment to promoting inclusivity in science and engineering. It actively involves junior Ukrainian researchers, facilitating their integration into the global scientific community. Educational opportunities will be offered through digital platforms, workshops, and simulation games, aligning with EU-Ukraine events. These initiatives aim to provide a distinctive learning experience, nurturing a new generation of scientists equipped with the skills to address complex resilience challenges and aligning with the NSF's mission to advance national health, prosperity, and welfare.TECHNICAL SUMMARYThis NSF EAGER project award aims to advance resilience science by developing the Resilience-Recovery Under Attack (RRUA) framework, with a focus on the unique challenges faced by Ukraine's digital services sector. The RRUA framework introduces an innovative and comprehensive approach to resilience science, targeting the complex interdependencies of interconnected infrastructural systems subjected to dynamic threats and shocks. Hence, the project represents a significant leap from traditional resilience strategies that emphasize prevention, instead integrating recovery as a core component of the resilience paradigm. We aim to validate the hypothesis that the recovery and resilience of systems under threats and system response stages to diverse shocks can be quantified via stress-testing of interconnected networks representing their systemic functions. We aim to provide novel insights into the lifecycle of resilience under external shocks during acute and persistent shocks, and in particular quantify the key controllers of each of the resilience-response phases to inform efficient recovery interventions. By employing a multi-faceted methodology combining network science, resilience analytics, explainable AI (xAI), and digital twin technologies, the project seeks to redefine systemic recovery modeling and adaptation of interconnected infrastructure across Ukraine, benefiting from the shared knowledge of our proposed international partnership with the USA, Ukraine, Poland, Estonia, and Lithuania. The project utilizes a three-pronged approach: refining RRUA using data-rich analyses at a US-based international airport, testing concepts and methods in Poland, Estonia and Lithuania testbeds, including human behavior components of vulnerability, and subsequently integrating RRUA within Ukraine's cyber and energy infrastructure systems in the presence of dynamic threats and variable data. Success could revolutionize Ukraine's prospects for recovery, positioning it as a global example for resilience strategies. Our research design will collaboratively explore how to operationalize our RRUA framework across varied settings.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.