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The Etesian wind system and energy potential over the Aegean Sea; Past, present and future

埃特西亚风系统和爱琴海上的能源潜力；

基本信息

批准号：
317881500
负责人：
Professor Dr. Jürg Luterbacher
金额：
--
依托单位：
Institut für Geographie
依托单位国家：
德国
项目类别：
Research Grants
财政年份：
2016
资助国家：
德国
起止时间：
2015-12-31 至 2019-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/317881500?language=en
关键词：
Etesian wind system energy potential

项目摘要

The aim of this project is to investigate the natural variations of the Etesian wind system over the Aegean Sea over the past 110 years, assess its future (2010-2049) variability using CORDEX projections under different RCP scenarios and estimate the future potential for wind energy production. The main aim of this proposal is to investigate the natural variability and predictability of the Etesian wind system over the Aegean Sea (between mainland Greece and Turkey) and the potential for wind energy production in the future. The proposed work will include the analysis of the Etesians over a longer period (1900-2010) than previously possible using the newly-released improved Version v2c of the 20th Century Reanalysis and the ECMWF's first atmospheric reanalysis of the 20th century. The relationship between the large scale atmospheric circulation over the Euro-Atlantic-Asian area and the regional wind field over the Aegean on different time scales will be studied using a variety of sophisticated multivariate statistics and novel clustering approaches. Further, the performance of Regional Climate Model (RCM) historical simulations of the European branch of Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating Etesians and their ability to replicate the observed variability, trends and the large scale circulation for the period 1971-2000 will be evaluated. The simulated results will be validated against reanalysis datasets and daily observational measurements from the mainland Greece, the Aegean Sea and the western coast of Turkey. An assessment of future Etesian wind variability in the CORDEX projections under the two Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 and 4.5 for the first half of the 21st century will be provided. Finally, the future Etesians wind energy potentials will be assessed in order to identify the areas that have suitable wind energy potential for wind turbine applications over the Aegean.

该项目的目的是调查过去110年来爱琴海上空的埃克塞特风力系统的自然变化，在不同的RCP情景下使用CORDEX预测评估其未来（2010-2049年）的变化，并估计未来风能生产的潜力。该提案的主要目的是调查爱琴海（希腊大陆和土耳其之间）的Ekalos风系统的自然变化和可预测性以及未来风能生产的潜力。拟议的工作将包括使用新发布的20世纪世纪再分析的改进版本v2 c和ECMWF对20世纪世纪的第一次大气再分析，对更长时期（1900-2010年）的Etesian进行分析。将使用各种复杂的多变量统计和新颖的聚类方法研究不同时间尺度上欧洲-大西洋-亚洲地区大尺度大气环流与爱琴海地区风场之间的关系。此外，区域气候模式（RCM）的历史模拟的协调区域降尺度实验（CORDEX）的欧洲分支在模拟Etesians和他们的能力，复制观测到的变化，趋势和大尺度环流1971-2000年期间的性能将进行评估。模拟结果将根据希腊大陆、爱琴海和土耳其西海岸的再分析数据集和每日观测测量结果进行验证。将提供对21世纪上半叶两个代表性浓度路径8.5和4.5下的CORDEX预测中未来埃克塞特风变率的评估。最后，将评估未来Etesian的风能潜力，以确定在爱琴海上具有适合风力涡轮机应用的风能潜力的地区。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（5）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

On the link between the Etesian winds, tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone over the Eastern Mediterranean during summer

DOI：
10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105161
发表时间：
2021-01
期刊：
Atmospheric Research
影响因子：
5.5
作者：
Stella Dafka;D. Akritidis;P. Zanis;A. Pozzer;E. Xoplaki;J. Luterbacher;C. Zerefos
通讯作者：
Stella Dafka;D. Akritidis;P. Zanis;A. Pozzer;E. Xoplaki;J. Luterbacher;C. Zerefos

Simulating Extreme Etesians over the Aegean and Implications for Wind Energy Production in Southeastern Europe

模拟爱琴海的极端埃特西亚风及其对东南欧风能生产的影响