Renewable Penetration, Integration Costs and the Roles of the Power Grids: A Spatial Econometric Analysis for Prefectures in Japan

可再生能源渗透率、整合成本和电网的作用：日本各县的空间计量经济分析

• 批准号: 22K13387
• 负责人: ZHANG TUO
• 金额: $ 2.91万
• 依托单位: Kyoto University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2022-04-01 至 2024-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-22K13387/
• 关键词: 再生可能エネルギー; 電力市場; 電力システム改革

Research progress on power market with large-scale renewable energy:1. Japan's winter electricity market prices in 2021 were analyzed using an optimal dispatch model. Results show that natural gas units have a disproportionate impact on electricity prices at different times within a day. Rising natural gas prices result in high electricity prices during evening peak demand when solar power output is low. Therefore, stable and affordable natural gas supply is crucial for the stable operation of the power system and affordability of electricity prices.2. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was used to analyze the cost pass-through of fuel prices to electricity prices within a day. In a power system with large-scale renewable energy, residual electricity demand fluctuates within a day. The Japanese regional electricity supply market for thermal power generation is a central-peripheral type of market, and the cost pass-through ability of regional market-dominant firms fluctuates within a day due to differences in market power. The empirical results of the VECM indicate that when renewable energy output is high, the cost pass-through ability is weak, whereas when renewable energy output is low, the cost pass-through ability is strong in the Japanese wholesale electricity market.

大规模可再生能源电力市场研究进展： 1．使用最优调度模型对日本 2021 年冬季电力市场价格进行了分析。结果表明，天然气机组在一天内不同时间段对电价的影响不成比例。天然气价格上涨导致晚高峰需求期间太阳能发电量较低时电价上涨。因此，稳定、实惠的天然气供应对于电力系统的稳定运行和电价的承受能力至关重要。 2．矢量误差修正模型（VECM）用于分析一天内燃料价格到电价的成本传导。在大规模可再生能源电力系统中，剩余电力需求在一天之内会出现波动。日本区域火力发电供电市场属于中心-外围型市场，区域市场主导企业的成本转嫁能力因市场力的差异而在一日内波动。 VECM的实证结果表明，当可再生能源发电量较高时，日本批发电力市场的成本转嫁能力较弱，而当可再生能源发电量较低时，成本转嫁能力较强。

项目成果

日本の電力市場における価格転嫁に関する計量分析

日本电力市场价格传导的计量经济学分析

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Guo Yanjun;Zhang Tuo;Li Ruotong;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO
• 通讯作者: ZHANG TUO

"電力小売全面自由化が小売価格に与える影響に関する実証研究 "

《售电全面开放对零售价格影响的实证研究》

• 发表时间: 2023
• 作者: Guo Yanjun;Zhang Tuo;Li Ruotong;ZHANG TUO
• 通讯作者: ZHANG TUO

Priority to Self-Interest? Economic Development? Or Ecological Coordination? The Turnover of Local Officials and Environmental Governance in China

个人利益优先？

• DOI: 10.3390/land12010091
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Land
• 影响因子: 3.9
• 作者: Guo Yanjun;Zhang Tuo;Li Ruotong
• 通讯作者: Li Ruotong

High Gas Price and Power System Flexibility: Scenario Analysis on the Japanese Power System through PyPSA-Japan

高天然气价格和电力系统灵活性：通过 PyPSA-Japan 对日本电力系统进行情景分析

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Guo Yanjun;Zhang Tuo;Li Ruotong;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO
• 通讯作者: ZHANG TUO

"Renewable Penetration, Market Power, and Electricity Price: The Case of the Electricity Price Spike in the Japanese Wholesale Markets "

“可再生能源渗透率、市场力量和电价：日本批发市场电价飙升的案例”

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Guo Yanjun;Zhang Tuo;Li Ruotong;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO;ZHANG TUO
• 通讯作者: ZHANG TUO