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A Study on the Qualitative Change in the Price Level of Rice and new Rice Farming Organization

稻米价格水平质变与新型稻作组织研究

基本信息

批准号：
01450101
负责人：
HIGUCHI Teizo
金额：
$ 0.51万
依托单位：
University of Tsukuba
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (B)
财政年份：
1989
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1989 至 1990
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-01450101/
关键词：
Price of Rice Under the Liberalized Domestic Market Domestically Liberalized Rice Market Idle Laborers Created by Liberalization Whole Village Type Farming X-Organization Profit Function to Calculate Demand for Rice Laborers Technology Approac

项目摘要

Presuming the presence of domestic liberalization in the rice market, we have conducted a research to find an appropriate rice farming organization capable of coping up with the assumptive imported rice in terms of cost of production and chose an experimental model village in the northern Honshu of Japan.The main conclusions are categorically presented as follows :(1) Prediction of producer's price of rice under the assumption of liberalization of domestic rice marketUsing an equilibrium model consisting of the demand and supply function of rice, we have obtained \13, 000 as the equilibrium producer's price as of 1988.(2) Labor demand in rice farming in liberalized market situation in the model villageApplying the trans-log type profit function on the data gathered by MAFF from rice farmers in the northern Honshu of Japan, we were able to clarify the functional relation between rice price level and demand for labor in rice farming. It is noticeable that we got such a high elasticity of … More rice labor with respect to price of rice, i. e. 3.08 as of the average of 1982-84.(3) Prediction of the population of the farm households and the numbers of agricultural laborers in year 2000 in the model villageCohort Analysis was applied and from 1990 to year 2000, it showed the following : 1) a 15 % decrease in the population of farm households, 2) a 20 % decrease in the number of agricultural laborers and those in age of more than 60 would approach 70.4% compared to 46.5 in 1990.(4) New rice farming organizationLow producer's price and the deterioration of labor force in the near future, definitely would make current rice farming system very vulnerable and a new concept in rice farming organizations is rendered inevitable. Responding to this need, we submitted "X organization" model, the major concept of which is "whole village farming organization" joined by all rice farmers and all rice area, that is, 1000 farmers and 1000 ha rice area, would be operated by 40-50 feasible rice farmers.(5) Cost of production of X-organizationIn calculating the cost of production of X-organization, many environmental factors, such as meteorological condition, soil condition and rice variety adaptability have been considered. The so-called secondary production cost of X-organization is \ll. 375, fairly lower than the average cost of production in this area, i. e. around \20, 000, and 68 % of current producer's price. Less

假设大米市场存在国内自由化，我们进行了一项研究，以寻找能够在生产成本方面应对假定进口大米的适当水稻种植组织，并选择了日本本州北部的一个实验示范村。本文的主要结论如下：(1)国内大米市场自由化假设下的大米生产者价格预测：利用大米的供需函数构成的均衡模型，我们得到了1988年的均衡生产者价格\ 13000。(2)市场自由化条件下示范村稻作劳动力需求利用MAFF对日本本州北部稻作农户数据的跨对数型利润函数，可以明确稻作价格水平与稻作劳动力需求之间的函数关系。值得注意的是，我们得到了如此高的弹性……更多的大米劳动力相对于大米价格，即3.08的平均1982-84年。(3)对示范村2000年农户人口和农业劳动力数量进行了预测。采用ecohort分析法，从1990年到2000年，农户人口将减少15%，农业劳动力数量将减少20%，60岁以上的农业劳动力数量将接近70.4%，而1990年为46.5%。(4)新的水稻种植组织在不久的将来，生产者价格的降低和劳动力的恶化，肯定会使现有的水稻种植制度变得非常脆弱，水稻种植组织的新概念变得不可避免。针对这一需求，我们提出了“X组织”模式，其主要概念是由所有稻农和所有稻面积组成的“全村农业组织”，即1000个稻农和1000公顷稻面积，由40-50个可行的稻农经营。(5) x组织的生产成本在计算x组织的生产成本时，考虑了气象条件、土壤条件、水稻品种适应性等多种环境因素。x组织的所谓二次生产成本为。375美元，低于该地区的平均生产成本，即2万美元左右，是当前生产商价格的68%。少