Longitudinal Prediction of Individual Resilience and Difficulties in Coping with the COVID-19-Pandemic and its Consequences

在短短几周内，新冠肺炎大流行从根本上改变了世界各地许多人的生活。目前尚不清楚，新冠肺炎疫情将在德国产生哪些长期的心理和身体影响，以及哪些人群将被证明是有弹性的或脆弱的。为了预防和减轻大流行的后果，确定对精神和躯体症状的发展和稳定有影响的因素是非常重要的。这项计划中的研究是对目前的DFG项目“Zukunft Familie IV”的补充项目，目前正在对大约360个家庭进行为期18年的更年期研究。从幼儿园年龄开始，家长和孩子的变量就被反复收集(在大约30岁的时候)。4、5、6、7、8、14岁)。虽然儿童目前正处于青壮年(21-24岁)，因此处于职业生涯进入的关键阶段，但由于年龄(50-60岁)，父母是严重新冠肺炎病程的风险群体，因此两个群体都更容易受到伤害。计划中的额外项目旨在收集以下方面的数据：(1)大流行病心理负担的发展情况；(2)生活满意度；(3)危机对年轻人及其父母的长期消极和积极影响。此外，还将分析机构信任以及参与者对当局下令控制疫情的行动的处理情况。评估将在一年内分三个测量点进行。由于Zukunft Familie项目的前瞻性设计，额外的项目提供了揭示不同风险和保护因素与个人压力和生活满意度之间的纵向关系的可能性。计划将结果与德国和国际研究进行比较。

Within in a few weeks, the COVID-19 pandemic has radically changed the life of many people all over the world. It is not yet known, which long-term psychological and physical effects the COVID-19 outbreak will have in Germany and which groups of people will prove to be resilient or vulnerable. For the prevention and alleviation of the pandemic’s consequences, it is of great importance to identify factors that have an influence on the development and stability of mental and somatic symptoms. The planned study is an additional project to the current DFG Project “Zukunft Familie IV”, in which the 18-year catamnesis of approximately 360 families is currently being carried out. Since kindergarten age, parent and child variables have been collected repeatedly (at the age of approx. 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 14 years). While the children are currently in young adulthood (21-24 years) and thus in the critical phase of their career entry, the parents represent a risk group for a severe course of COVID-19 due to their age (50-60 years), so that both groups have an increased vulnerability. The planned additional project aims to collect data on (1) the development of the psychological burden of the pandemic, (2) life satisfaction, and (3) the long-term negative and positive consequences of the crisis for the young adults and their parents. Furthermore, the institutional trust as well as the participants handling of the actions to contain the pandemic ordered by the authorities will be analyzed. The assessment will take place at three points of measurements over a period of one year. Due to the prospective design of the “Zukunft Familie” project, the additional project offers the possibility to uncover longitudinal relationships between different risk and protective factors and individual stress and life satisfaction. Comparisons of the results with German and international studies are planned.