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The FTA between China and ASEAN and Impact on East Asian Economy

中国与东盟自贸区及对东亚经济的影响

基本信息

批准号：
16530193
负责人：
TRAN Van Tho
金额：
$ 1.66万
依托单位：
Waseda University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2004
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2004 至 2005
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16530193/
关键词：
FTA ACFTA Economic Intergration Foreign Direct Investment International Trade Trade Creation Effect Trade Diversion Effect East Asia 国際経済学地域経済学東南アジア

项目摘要

The main purposes of this research are to analyse the impacts of the free trade agreement (FTA) concluded between China and ASEAN (hereafter ACFTA) in November 2002 and to point out some issues that ASEAN and Japan should consider to respond to this movement. More concretely, the following issues have been analysed. First, what were the economic and political aims of China and ASEAN in ACFTA? Second, what are the impacts of this FTA on the economic development of South-Western region of China and the countries in the Greater Mekong sub-region (new members of ASEAN) ; Third, what are the impacts of ACFTA on other ASEAN countries? And finally, how ASEAN countries and Japan should respond to the new economic relations with China?Our analysis has been based on the international trade data (published by UNCTAD), the survey on the literature and the results of our field surveys in Thailand and Yunnan province (of China). Major conclusions can be summarized as follows :Firstly, under the enfo … More rcement of ACFTA, the export volume of agricultural and mining products from old members of ASEAN to China has increased evidently, and in manufactured products, the horizontal division of labor between the two also showed a substantial progress. Both China and old members of ASEAN are benefiting from the trade creation effect of ACFTA. However, this FTA may hit the labor-intensive industries of new ASEAN members and hinder the industrialization of these countries. In order to avoid this trap and to utilize the positive effects of ACFTA, new member countries of ASEAN should have appropriate industrialization policy (emphasis on the comparative advantage and enhancement of foreign direct investment), as well as making efforts in producing high quality agricultural products to exploit the benefits of the Early Harvest measures.The impact of ACFTA on Japan at the time-being can be expected as follows. Because the structure of export product of Japan is quite different from that between China and ASEAN countries, the trade diversion effect of the FTA on Japan is small. However, along with the rapid expansion of Sino-ASEAN trade and the ambitious offensive strategy of China toward ASEAN, the presence of China in this region will be increasingly apparent. Japan should enhance the cooperation on trade and investment with ASEAN, in particular step up on technology transfer and other economic cooperation efforts with new members of ASEAN. Less

本研究的主要目的是分析2002年11月中国-东盟自由贸易协定（以下简称ACFTA）的影响，并指出东盟和日本应考虑的一些问题，以应对这一运动。具体而言，分析了以下问题。第一，中国与东盟建立ACFTA的经济和政治目的是什么？第二，该自由贸易区对中国西南地区和大湄公河次区域国家（东盟新成员）的经济发展有何影响;第三，中国-东盟自由贸易区对其他东盟国家有何影响？最后，东盟国家和日本应该如何应对与中国的新经济关系？我们的分析是基于国际贸易数据（由联合国贸发会议出版），文献调查和我们在泰国和云南省（中国）的实地调查结果。本文的主要结论如下：第一，在环境影响评价体系下， ...更多信息随着中国-东盟自由贸易区的建立，东盟老成员国对中国的农、矿产品出口量明显增加，在制成品方面，双方的水平分工也有了实质性进展。中国和东盟老成员国都从中国-东盟自由贸易区的贸易创造效应中受益。但是，这一FTA可能会打击东盟新成员国的劳动密集型产业，阻碍这些国家的工业化。为了避免这一陷阱，充分利用ACFTA的积极效应，东盟新成员国应采取适当的工业化政策（重视比较优势和加强外国直接投资），并努力生产高质量的农产品，以充分利用早期收获措施的好处。由于日本的出口产品结构与中国与东盟国家的出口产品结构存在较大差异，因此FTA对日本的贸易转移效应较小。但沿着中国-东盟贸易的迅速扩大和中国对东盟雄心勃勃的进攻战略，中国在这一地区的存在感将日益显现。日本应加强与东盟的贸易和投资合作，特别是加强与东盟新成员国的技术转让和其他经济合作努力。少

项目成果

期刊论文数量（12）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

ASEAN-Chuugoku no FTA : Betonamu heno Chousen'

东盟-中国的 FTA : Betonamu heno Chousen

DOI：
发表时间：
2006
期刊：
Annual Bulletin of the Institute for Industrial, Research-01 Obirin University pp. 67-81 No. 24
影响因子：
0
作者：
YAMAYA;S.;SINOGI;T.;MASAYUKI SASAKI;Laixun Zhao Yuqing Xing;Shuichi Ikemoto;Tran Van Tho
通讯作者：
Tran Van Tho

Chuugoku-ASEAN Jiyuu Boueki Kyoutei to Yunnansho no Keizai Hatten'

中国-东盟自由贸易协廷与云南商的经济合作