Energy landscapes of less than two degrees global warming - modelling regional strategies for the expansion of renewable energies with special consideration of national and international climate protection goals

全球变暖低于两度的能源景观 - 对可再生能源扩张的区域战略进行建模，特别考虑国家和国际气候保护目标

• 批准号: 509460539
• 负责人: Privatdozent Dr. Stephan Bosch
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Lehrstuhl für Regionales Klima und Hydrologie
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 资助国家: 德国
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/509460539?language=en
• 关键词: Energy; landscapes; less; than; two

A central goal resulting from the UN Climate Conference in Paris is to keep global warming below 2°C compared to pre-industrial levels. The expansion of renewable energies is to play a major role in this. However, it is unclear how their accelerated deployment can succeed in view of limited land resources and what social consequences it will entail. Evidently, the countless renewable energy plants have already mechanised the landscapes to such an extent that any further expansion will face very low acceptance. The reasons for the gap between society's desire for a climate-friendly way of life and the reality of a rejection of the required technologies have a strong geographical connection. Therefore, the spatial dimensions and societal implications of those energy landscapes that can limit global warming to less than two degrees must be explored. This subject will be addressed by means of an interdisciplinary research approach by human and physical geography. Our investigations are based on the following central research questions: To which extent do climate protection strategies change the landscapes that surround us? What spatial options are available in this context? Which social and ecological qualities of energy landscapes can be expected in the process? In order to answer these questions, we want to (1.) model potential carbon-neutral energy landscapes and visualise them cartographically. In doing so, (2.), an ensemble of energy-related and multi-variate bias corrected climate scenarios related to the whole of Germany will be created, which will record the central meteorological and climatic variables in their current spatial distribution and long-term variability. Based on this, we want to (3.) analyse which spatial patterns arise if the restrictions for renewable energies are varied in the spatial analyses. The consequent aim is to (4.) identify social and ecological conflicts in selected spatial case studies and to reflect on adaptation strategies. The findings will also be valorised by (5.) developing the conceptual basis for a GIS tool that can be used to develop carbon-neutral energy landscapes.

巴黎联合国气候会议的一个中心目标是将全球变暖控制在工业化前水平的 2°C 以下。可再生能源的扩张将在其中发挥重要作用。然而，鉴于土地资源有限，尚不清楚它们的加速部署如何能够取得成功，以及这将带来什么社会后果。显然，无数的可再生能源工厂已经将景观机械化到了这样的程度，任何进一步的扩张都将面临非常低的接受度。社会对气候友好型生活方式的渴望与拒绝所需技术的现实之间存在差距，其原因与地理密切相关。因此，必须探索那些可以将全球变暖限制在两度以内的能源景观的空间维度和社会影响。该主题将通过人文地理学和自然地理学的跨学科研究方法来解决。我们的调查基于以下核心研究问题：气候保护策略在多大程度上改变了我们周围的景观？在这种情况下有哪些空间选择？在此过程中可以预期能源景观具有哪些社会和生态质量？为了回答这些问题，我们想要 (1.) 对潜在的碳中和能源景观进行建模，并以制图方式将其可视化。在此过程中，(2.)，将创建与整个德国相关的能源相关和多变量偏差校正气候情景集合，它将记录中心气象和气候变量的当前空间分布和长期变化。基于此，我们想要（3.）分析如果空间分析中对可再生能源的限制不同，会出现哪些空间模式。随之而来的目标是 (4.) 在选定的空间案例研究中识别社会和生态冲突，并反思适应策略。研究结果还将通过 (5.) 开发可用于开发碳中和能源景观的 GIS 工具的概念基础来验证。