Changes of Regional Relations in East Central Europe

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1) This study focuses on the changes of international relations in East Central Europe of post-communist era, in particular :(a) eastward expansion of NATO and/or the EU,(b) sub-regional cooperation (e.g.CEFTA) in Central Europe(c) bilateral relations (e.g.ethnic minority problems) in the region,(d) relations between foreign policy and domestic factors in each country.2) We had interviews with the persons in charge of this matter in the governments and political parties of the Central and East European countries and Russia..3) We collected materials on :(a) the parliamentary elections (June, 1996) and the Senate elections (November, 1996) in the Czech Republic ;(b) Referendum on accession to NATO in Slovakia (May, 1997)(c) the parliamentary elections in Poland (June, 1997)(d) Referendum on accession to NATO in Hungary (November, 1997)4) The main points of the study may be summarized as follows :(a) Although Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary have secured their position as the future members of NATO and the EU,there remain many domestic problems to be solved by the time they join in the organizations.(b) Slovak democracy is unstable. Consequently, neither NATO nor the EU regard it a future member of them.(c) More careful attention must be paid to the effects of the NATO/EU enlargement on the politics of the Baltic countries, Ukraine and South East European countries. The enlargement may have some negative effects on the stability of these countries.5) The interim report of this study has been issued as an Occasional Papers of the Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido University in March, 1998 and the final reports of this research project will be gathered into a volume in 1999.