An Empirical Study by Delphi Method on the Present and Future of Rrivate Firms Damaged by Hanshin Big Earthquake.

阪神大地震受损私营企业现状与未来的德尔菲法实证研究。

• 批准号: 08453019
• 负责人: TSURUMI Kiyoshi
• 金额: $ 4.48万
• 依托单位: KONAN UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1996
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1996 至 1997
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-08453019/
• 关键词: Delphi Method; Hanshin Big Earthquake; Management Strategy; Corporate Behavior; Economic Recovery from Disaster

The earthquake that hit Hanshin Awaji area on January 17,1995 before daylight gave an area economy big damage, and the damage total amount exceeded 10 trillion yen. The damage of the private enterprise was serious. In addition to the damage toward the human resources and the equipment, they had to suspened their activities for longer period. These private enterprises couldn't ask government and a local authority for the direct support of the reconstruction benefit and the assistance.One of the main characteristics of this research, which started in April 1996 and ended in March 1998, is questionnaire surveys the Delphi Method. Our research team started the investigation related to the damage of the enterprise and the management from 1995-year spring right after suffering in the Konan University. At that time, the buildings and equipment of the university were completely destructed. The object of the questionnaire survey was limited to the enterprises that employ Konan University gradua … More tes. This is because collecting detailed information inside the enterprise is critical to this survey.In September 1995 the 1st questionnaire was sent to 3,000 companies that had at least one business site in the suffering area, and it got an effective answer more than 369 companies. This collection rate met 12.3%, and it was a very high collection rate as a questionnaire of this kind. This is the result that an applicable enterprise recognized the importance of the questionnaire survey. We think that the social need of the case research was confirmed.Science research subsidy was granted for this research in 1996, and it made possible detailed analysis of the result of the questionnaire survey. The 1st questionnaire total was organized for 1996 years in autumn. After that, the 2nd questionnaire survey was done targeting an enterprise 369 companies that replied to the 1st questionnaire survey. The 2nd questionnaire survey total was done in 1997, and reported in February 1998.A future change in the enterprise of Hanshin area is predicted from two questionnaire surveys. Detailed analysis work is progressing at present. Hyogo Prefecture, the Kobe Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and so on did several questionnsire surveys during the period of this research, too. But, they are more narrowly focused surveys, and their results are different from this research. Comparison with them will be contained in the final analysis of the result of questionnaire survey. Less

1995年1月17日天还没亮就发生的地震，给该地区的经济造成了巨大的损失，损失总额超过10万亿日元。私营企业的损失是严重的。除了对人力资源和设备的破坏外，他们还不得不暂停活动更长一段时间。这些民营企业不能要求政府和地方政府直接支持重建利益和援助。这项始于1996年4月至1998年3月结束的研究的主要特点之一是问卷调查的德尔菲法。我们的课题组从1995年春天在科南大学受灾后，就开始了对企业和管理层损害的调查。当时，大学的建筑和设备被完全摧毁。问卷调查的对象仅限于聘用韩国大学毕业生…的企业更多的TES。这是因为收集企业内部的详细信息对这次调查至关重要。1995年9月，第一份问卷被发送给在受灾地区至少有一个营业地点的3000家公司，得到了369多家公司的有效答复。这一收集率达到了12.3%，作为这类问卷的收集率是很高的。这是适用企业认识到问卷调查的重要性的结果。我们认为，个案研究的社会需求得到了确认，1996年对这项研究给予了科研资助，并对问卷调查的结果进行了详细的分析。第一份问卷是在秋季组织的，为期1996年。之后，对369家企业进行了第二次问卷调查，对第一次问卷调查进行了回复。第二次问卷调查于1997年完成，并于1998年2月上报。通过两次问卷调查，预测了阪神地区企业未来的变化。目前，详细的分析工作正在进行中。在本研究期间，兵库县、神户工商会等也进行了多次问卷调查。但是，他们是更狭隘的调查，他们的结果与这项研究不同。比较结果将包含在问卷调查结果的最终分析中。较少

项目成果

北澤康男: "大震災とアントゥルプレナーシップ" 甲南大学阪神大震災調査委員会, 166 (1997)

北泽康夫：《大地震与创业》甲南大学阪神大地震研究委员会，166（1997）

北澤 康男: "大震災とアントゥルプレナーシップ" 甲南大学阪神大震災調査委員会, 166 (1997)

北泽康夫：《大地震与创业》甲南大学阪神大地震研究委员会，166（1997）

Yasuo Kitazawa, (ed): Big Earthquake and Entrepreneurship. The Records of Hanshin Big Earthquake No. 4, Konan University Hanshin Big Earthquake Research Committee, February, (1997)

Yasuo Kitazawa，（编辑）：大地震与创业精神。