Study of the Political Dynamism of the EU (European Union) Enlargement and the Construction of New European Order

澄清了以下几点：欧盟的下一次扩大在许多方面与上一次有所不同。人们不仅可以指出申请国的数量，还可以指出，例如，欧盟对中欧和东欧国家政策的不一致性，波斯尼亚冲突或科索沃危机等外部因素的影响，特别提到欧洲大陆的安全，欧盟方面机构改革的必要性，等等。东扩似乎是下一次东扩的中心问题，但向地中海国家（如马耳他、塞浦路斯或土耳其）的南扩也非常重要，这两个过程正在平衡欧盟的下一次东扩。欧盟不可能通过签署《阿姆斯特丹条约》成功地改革其机构。但在2000年12月举行的尼斯欧洲会议上，在欧盟可能由27个国家组成的假设下，就机构改革达成了最低限度的妥协，并于2001年2月签署了尼斯条约。这一小步将在几年内迎来新的成员国。扩大后的欧盟，中小成员国的数量将远远超过法国、德国、英国等希望在欧洲一体化中保持主动权的大国。为了防止大国的干预，维护小国的利益，比荷卢三国这样的小国必须做出更大的努力，推动联邦制的欧洲一体化。总之，这些调查结果表明，新的欧洲政治制度现在正在考虑欧盟的下一个扩大进程。

The following points have been clarified :1. The next enlargement of the EU differs form previous one in a many aspects. One can points out not only the number of applicant countries but also, for instance, inconsistency of the EU policy towards the Central and Eastern European Countries, influence of the external factors such as Bosnia conflict or Kosovo crisis, with special reference to the security of the European continent, necessity of institutional reform on the EU side, etc.2. The Eastern enlargement seems to be a central issue of the next enlargement, but the Southern enlargement towards Mediterranean countries such as Malta, Cyprus or Turkey is also very important and these two process are balancing the next enlargement of the EU.3. The EU could not succeed to reform its institutions by signing the Amsterdam Treaty. But at Nice European Conference which had been held in December 2000, a minimum compromise has been reached on the institutional reform on the assumption that the EU may be composed of 27 states, and the Nice treaty has been signed in February 2001. This small step will lead to welcome new member states within few years.4. In an enlarged EU, the number of small and medium member states will be much bigger than big states such as France, Germany or the United Kingdom, which hope to keep their initiatives in the European integration. To prevent the bigger state's intervention and to preserve small state's interests, small states like Benelux countries have to make much more efforts to promote a federal type of European integration.In conclusion, these findings leads to say that the new European political system is now in consideration with the next enlargement process of the European Union.