A theoretical and empirical study on the collapse of the 20th century's socialist economic system and its implications in the future

这项研究的目的是从当代的角度重新思考苏联政权和20世纪社会主义经济制度崩溃的原因，并研究它们对21世纪作为后工业社会和后社会主义社会的社会经济社会形态的影响。在这份报告中，我特别写下了对马克思历史唯物主义理论研究的成果和对他的批评。以前，我主要争论的是马克思自己关于未来社会主义经济概念的错误。这一次，我考察了他的历史唯物主义本身，这是他未来概念的基础。其主要问题是他的理论结构过于僵化，忽视了基本的人类心理对社会形态的影响。我的报告的导言解释了本报告的框架。《转型：前十年》显示了前苏联和东欧国家的经济概况。“”2.历史…《更多的唯物主义》首先阐释了历史唯物主义的内容，然后提炼出主要主题，即他的历史主义(唯物主义)与作为革命者的激进主义之间的困境。《波普尔、道德激进主义与马克思》通过考察波普尔对马克思的批判，找到了理论日益灵活的方向，支持的不是历史主义，而是温和的历史主义。罗斯托的历史观、未来观和马克思认为罗斯托是从马克思到贝尔和富卢亚的桥梁。“5.贝尔的技术历史观和多元化”“为温和的历史主义找到了一条更具体的道路。”福山的进化论和技术历史观与他关于历史终结的论断并不一致，但它表明他的社会形态观是有效的，这种社会形态既强调技术和理性，也强调人的心理。“7.罗尔斯和伊基的正义和社会形态”论证了基本的人类心理学和社会形态之间的关系。较少

The purpose of this study is to rethink causes of the collapse of the Soviet-type regimes and the 20th century's socialist economic system from a viewpoint of the present time and to study their implications for social formations of the 21st century's society and economy as a post-industrial and post-socialist society.Here in this report I write especially about the result of theoretical study of Marx's historical materialism and criticisms to him. Formerly I argued mainly about the faults of Marx's own concept of future socialist economy. This time I examine his historical materialism itself that was a basis of his concept for the future. Main problems of it are a too rigid structure of his theory and an ignorance of the effect of essential human psychology upon social formations."Introduction of my report explains the framework of this report. "1. Transition: First 10 Ynars"" shows a summarized situation of the economy in the former Soviet and East European countries. ""2. Historical … More mhaterialism"" first explains the content of historical materialism and then extracts the main subject, that is, difficulties between his historicism (obiectism) and activism as a revolutionary. ""3. Popper, moral radicalism and Marx"" finds a direction to growing flexibility of the theory through considering Popper's criticism on Marx and supports not a historicism but a moderate histerism. ""4. Rostow's view of history and future, and Marx"" considers Rostow as a bridge from Marx to Bell and Fuluyama. ""5. Bell's technological view of history and pluralism"" finds a more concrete way for a moderate historism. ""6. Fukuyam's evolutionary and technological view of history"" does not agree with his assertions about the end of history, but it shows that his viewpoint about social formations which emphasizes not only technology and reason but also human psycohology is effective. ""7. Rawls's and Ichii's justice and social formations"" argues relations between essential human psychology and social furmatisne. Less