A theoretical and empirical study on the collapse of the 20th century's socialist economic system and its implications in the future

本研究的目的是从当代的角度重新思考苏联式政权和20世纪社会主义经济制度崩溃的原因，并研究其对21世纪后工业和后经济社会形态的影响。在这篇报告中，我着重论述了对马克思唯物史观的理论研究成果和对他的批评。以前，我主要讨论马克思自己关于未来社会主义经济概念的错误。这一次，我考察了他的历史唯物主义本身，这是他对未来的概念的基础。其主要问题是理论结构过于僵化，忽视了人类心理的本质对社会形态的影响。“我的报告导言部分解释了这份报告的框架。“1.《转型：前10年》概述了前苏联和东欧国家的经济状况。““2.历史 ...更多信息 “唯物主义”首先对唯物史观的内容进行了阐释，然后提炼出主要的主题，即他的历史主义（客观主义）与作为革命者的行动主义之间的矛盾。““3.波普尔、道德激进主义与马克思”通过对波普尔对马克思的批判的考察，找到了一个理论日益灵活的方向，支持的不是历史主义，而是温和的历史主义。““4.罗斯托的历史观和未来观，而马克思则把罗斯托看作是从马克思到贝尔和福禄山的桥梁。““5.贝尔的技术历史观和多元主义”为温和的历史主义找到了一条更为具体的道路。““6.福荫的“进化技术史观”与他的“历史终结论”并不一致，但它表明他的“社会形态观”是有效的，它不仅强调技术和理性，而且强调人的心理。““7.罗尔斯和一井的《正义与社会形态》论述了人类本质心理与社会骚动之间的关系。少

The purpose of this study is to rethink causes of the collapse of the Soviet-type regimes and the 20th century's socialist economic system from a viewpoint of the present time and to study their implications for social formations of the 21st century's society and economy as a post-industrial and post-socialist society.Here in this report I write especially about the result of theoretical study of Marx's historical materialism and criticisms to him. Formerly I argued mainly about the faults of Marx's own concept of future socialist economy. This time I examine his historical materialism itself that was a basis of his concept for the future. Main problems of it are a too rigid structure of his theory and an ignorance of the effect of essential human psychology upon social formations."Introduction of my report explains the framework of this report. "1. Transition: First 10 Ynars"" shows a summarized situation of the economy in the former Soviet and East European countries. ""2. Historical … More mhaterialism"" first explains the content of historical materialism and then extracts the main subject, that is, difficulties between his historicism (obiectism) and activism as a revolutionary. ""3. Popper, moral radicalism and Marx"" finds a direction to growing flexibility of the theory through considering Popper's criticism on Marx and supports not a historicism but a moderate histerism. ""4. Rostow's view of history and future, and Marx"" considers Rostow as a bridge from Marx to Bell and Fuluyama. ""5. Bell's technological view of history and pluralism"" finds a more concrete way for a moderate historism. ""6. Fukuyam's evolutionary and technological view of history"" does not agree with his assertions about the end of history, but it shows that his viewpoint about social formations which emphasizes not only technology and reason but also human psycohology is effective. ""7. Rawls's and Ichii's justice and social formations"" argues relations between essential human psychology and social furmatisne. Less