Economic Development of China and Trade Policies of Japan and China in East-Asia : CGE Analyses for International Division of Labor

中国的经济发展与中日在东亚的贸易政策：CGE对国际分工的分析

• 批准号: 18530174
• 负责人: IGAWA Kazuhiro
• 金额: $ 2.46万
• 依托单位: Kyoto Sangyo University (2007)Kobe University (2006)
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2006
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2006 至 2007
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-18530174/
• 关键词: economic development of China; dvnamic multi-country CGE model; international division of labor in East Asia; economic integration in East Asia; セグメンテーション; 東アジア共同体

Our research focused on the three points, characteristics of economic development in China, trade policies in East Asia, and CGE analyses. It could be divided into the follows.1. Theoretical modes for economic development of China were made and a framework of East-Asia community was investigated. The economic disparity between advanced coastal area and under-developed inland area was introduced in the model and scenarios of patterns for industrial concentration and separation, depending on economic developments, were made clear. The recent feature of international division of labor in East Asia is the triangle trade, Japan/Korea/Taiwan export core parts to China/ASEAN, and these export final products to SU/EU. Important roles of segmentation in business firms were investigated in our theoretical analyses and it is made clear that the new structure international division of labor in East Asia could be explained using concepts of scale economy and economy of scope. It was also investigated about difference in frameworks of ASEAN+3 and ASEAN+3+3, and discussed about their strategic importance for East-Asia community.2. CGE (Computable general Equilibrium) models are used to evaluate quantitatively a progress of economic integration in East-Asia. Comparative analysis to the economic integration in EU was made to clarify the differences between the two regions. The existing dynamic CGE model was revised to cope with characteristics of developing China. The revised model was used to evaluate progress of trade/investment connection among East Asia, and between East-Asia and US or EU. It was found that wider FTA of ASEAN+3 requires less structural adjustments than the cases of smaller FTA as ASEA + China or ASEAN + Korea. This is an interesting result. International division of labor is widely progressed in East Asia and a partial FTA grouping in East Asia might be inefficient.

我们的研究集中在三个方面，即中国的经济发展特点、东亚贸易政策和CGE分析。它可以分为以下几个部分。提出了中国经济发展的理论模式，并对东亚共同体框架进行了探讨。模型中引入了沿海发达地区与内陆欠发达地区之间的经济差距，明确了产业集聚和分流模式取决于经济发展的情景。东亚地区近期国际分工的特点是三角贸易，日韩台向中国东盟出口核心零部件，这些产品向苏欧出口。在理论分析中，我们考察了分割在企业中的重要作用，明确了东亚新的国际分工结构可以用规模经济和范围经济的概念来解释。考察了东盟+3与东盟+3+3框架的差异，探讨了东盟+3+3与东盟+3+3对东亚共同体的战略意义。运用CGE(可计算一般均衡)模型对东亚经济一体化进程进行了定量评价。对欧盟的经济一体化进行了比较分析，明确了两地经济一体化的差异。为了适应中国发展的特点，对现有的动态CGE模型进行了修正。修订后的模型被用于评估东亚之间以及东亚与美国或欧盟之间的贸易/投资联系的进展情况。研究发现，与东盟+中国或东盟+韩国等规模较小的自贸区相比，东盟+3规模较大的自贸区需要较少的结构调整。这是一个有趣的结果。国际分工在东亚得到了广泛的推进，在东亚建立局部的自贸协定可能是效率低下的。

项目成果

経済発展とネットワーク:中国・ASEANのケース

经济发展与网络：中国与东盟的案例

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: 国民経済雑誌 第193巻第5号
• 作者: Igawa;Kazuhiro;井川 一宏;井川 一宏;井川 一宏
• 通讯作者: 井川 一宏

グローバル化とネットワーク:三極化と多極化

全球化与网络：三极与多极

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: 世界経済評論 Vol.50,No.9
• 作者: Igawa;Kazuhiro;井川 一宏;井川 一宏;井川 一宏;井川 一宏
• 通讯作者: 井川 一宏

Regional Integration in East Asia: FTA Strategies for Japan and China

东亚区域一体化：日本和中国的自由贸易区战略

• 发表时间: 2008
• 作者: Hiro Lee;Dominique van der Mensbrugghe;井川 一宏;井川 一宏;利 博友;Igawa Kazuhiro;利 博友(Hiro Lee);Hiro Lee;利 博友(Hiro Lee)
• 通讯作者: 利 博友(Hiro Lee)

Regional Trade Agreements in East Asia: Are They Natural?

东亚区域贸易协定：它们是自然的吗？

• 发表时间: 2007
• 作者: Hiro Lee;Dominique van der Mensbrugghe;井川 一宏;井川 一宏;利 博友;Igawa Kazuhiro;利 博友(Hiro Lee);Hiro Lee;利 博友(Hiro Lee);利 博友(Hiro Lee);Hiro Lee;利 博友(Hiro Lee)
• 通讯作者: 利 博友(Hiro Lee)

Regional Integration,Sectoral Adjustments and Natural Groupings in East Asia

东亚区域一体化、部门调整与自然分组

• 发表时间: 2008
• 期刊: International Journal of Applied Economics 5(2)(2008年9月号掲載が決定)
• 作者: 大石達良;大石達良;井川 一宏;Hiro Lee and Dominique vander Mensbrugghe
• 通讯作者: Hiro Lee and Dominique vander Mensbrugghe