An integrative framework for human reasoning and judgment based on adaptive heuristics

点击翻译按钮获取中文摘要

The purpose of this study was to empirically and computationally reveal the nature of human adaptive heuristics for reasoning and judgment and to construct a theoretical framework that provides an integrative perspective on a wide variety of phenomena. We have obtained a significant achievenent With regard to causal reasoning and probability judgment. We clarified the descriptive validity and adaptive rationality of the dual-factor heuristic model and we explained various errors in thinking including the base rate fallacy using the equiprobability hypothesis.