Estimation system for the space-time distribution of the holiday trips

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In this paper、 we focused on the change of holiday traffic cause by the changing the road network and fuel price. First、 we considered quantitatively the selection destination rate for recreation. As a result、 the selection destination rate for recreation showed a change in leisure traffic regardless of trip generation. Also、 in this study、 effects of fuel price on traffic volume were discussed. A model was established using time-series data for relationship between vehicle traffic demand and fuel price in Japan、 to analyze factors influencing and short-and long-term effects.