Fluctuations of Commodity Prices and Financial Crisis in Resource-Rich Countries

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The objectives of this research projects are two-fold. The first objective is to examine determinants of commodity prices and characteristics of price movements. We found that commodity prices have become more susceptible to liquidity expansion(or liquidity squeeze) and more correlated with stock prices. Second objective is to investigate the determinants of foreign capitalflows into resource-rich countries. It is revealed that the commodity price boomand foreign exchange rate flexibility promote short-term speculative capital inflows, which might aggravate the resource curse.