Risk assessment of macroeconomic shocks

在这项研究中，我们使用模拟的宏观经济模型来考察经济和区域一体化的影响。我们首先建立了一个世界贸易可计算的一般均衡模型，以量化农业贸易化在水稻等主要农作物生产率冲击下的影响。我们还利用考虑发电和输电能力的空间局部均衡模型，量化了日本区域电力市场供应冲击的影响。

In this study, we investigated the impact of economic and regional integration by using macroeconomic models for simulation purposes. We first developed a world trade computable general equilibrium model to quantify the impact of agricultural tradeliberalization subject to productivity shocks of major crops such as rice. We also quantified the impact of supply shocks in Japan’s regional power markets using a spatial partial equilibrium model considering generation and transmission capacity.