Rethinking Australian drought risk, its long-term variability and processes

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Drought risk describes the likelihood that damage will result from exposure to drought. This project aims to fundamentally reshape how we define, characterise and understand drought risk in Australia. A framework for drought risk will be applied that includes the complete range of characteristics that modulate the impacts of drought, which are the frequency of recurrence, duration, severity, seasonality and spatial extent. Long-term changes in drought risk will be examined and the process-based climatic risk factors will be identified. Advancing knowledge on the nature and causes of the long-term changes in drought risk is crucial to improving risk management of drought in the agricultural and water resource sectors.