グローバル化する資本・労働移動の一般均衡分析：その経済成長、貧困と不平等への影響

我们已经完成了JSPS KAKENHI项目下的两篇论文。在第一篇文章中，我们以面临全球化的孟加拉为典型案例，分析了跨境要素流动的影响。使用静态可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型，我们考察了成衣(RMG)行业FDI增加的好处是如何在不同特征的家庭之间传递和分享的，以及适当的政府政策，以缓解因FDI增加而产生的不利分配问题。我们的模拟结果表明，FDI将促进RMG跨国公司的产出和出口，但对家庭群体的好处并不均衡。然后，我们证明，针对受不利影响的家庭群体的人力资本发展计划可以使这些家庭获得公平的收益。我们的动态CGE分析描述了外来劳动力市场对移民的冲击如何通过降低工资和增加失业率来降低家庭福利，特别是对国内劳动力市场上的非熟练工人来说。通过使用反作用政策选项，我们考察了FDI促进在地方政府部门和人力资本发展计划中的影响。根据我们的结果，我们得出结论，前者政策最大限度地减少了外国劳动力市场冲击的负面影响，而两者的结合更公平。我还成功地为自己的博士论文辩护，并于2019年9月毕业。

We have finalized two papers under JSPS KAKENHI project. In the first paper, we analyze the impacts of cross-border factor mobility in Bangladesh, as typical example, which faces globalization in factor mobility. Using a static Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, we examine how the benefits of an increased FDI in the ready-made garments (RMG) sector are transmitted and shared among households with different characteristics, and the appropriate government policies to mitigate adverse distributional problems, if any, created from the increased FDI.Our simulation results demonstrate that FDI would promote both output and exports by the RMG multinationals but benefit household groups unevenly. We then demonstrate that human capital development programs targeting an adversely affected household group could make the gains equitable among these households. Our dynamic CGE analysis describes how a foreign labor market shock of migrants reduce household welfare by lowering wages and increasing unemployment, particularly for unskilled workers in the domestic labor market. Using counteractive policy options, we examine the impacts of FDI promotion in the RMG sector and of a human-capital development program.Based on our results, we conclude that the former policy minimizes the negative impacts of foreign labor market shocks, while a combination of both policies is more equitable. I have also successfully defended my PhD dissertation and graduated in September 2019.