A pathway design framework and development strategies for transport decarbonization towards carbon neutrality

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In the fiscal year 2022, our research focus was mainly on constructing a regional transport model and an energy system model using China's 31 provinces as a case study. The transport model was developed to offer spatially flexible and temporally dynamic simulations of transport demand and modal choices for the transport sector, while the energy system model was developed to provide a bottom-up technology detailed recursive dynamic optimization model with a detailed technology selection framework. We collected data related to regional transportation and energy system to build the models. On the one hand, historical data on socioeconomic factors such as GDP, population, transport infrastructure supply, land use, transport cost, and transport demand were collected to estimate the parameters of the transport model for projecting the future passenger and freight transport demand. On the other hand, a detailed technology database, which includes information on the transportation device such as lifetime, initial costs, operation and maintenance costs, energy efficiency, and emission factors, was built for energy system modeling.