Study on the Protection and Use of Global Land Resources Considering the Life Stile

考虑生活方式的全球土地资源保护与利用研究

• 批准号: 09680512
• 负责人: GOTO Shintaro
• 金额: $ 1.47万
• 依托单位: Kanazawa Institute of Technology
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1997
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1997 至 1998
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-09680512/
• 关键词: Global Environmental Problem; Remote Sensing; Geographic Information System; Population Problem; Food Problem; Land Use Planning; 地理環境問題

The principal contents of this study as follows,(1) Data Base Constnsction on Global Environmentprincipal date base made in this study as foIIows,- Land Use Cover Change Map in 1960's by digitizing Atlas of Agriculture- Potential distribution of arable land by the method of Cramer and Solomon- Population , GDP, food Productivity, food consumption, energy consumption, fire wood consumption and round wood consumption per country.(2) Estimation of Amount of Global Land Resources Considering Trade off Development, Resources and Environment(3) Estimation of Land Use Cover Change Considering Change of Life StyleUsing GIS and socio-economical data the relationship between human activities and global environmental change is Analysed from the view point of food productivity and C02 emission. Under the assumption that the population problem, the food problem and global warming due to energy consumption can be stabilized through managing land use, impacts of human activities such as consumption o … More f food, energy and timber on global environment changes, and global population capacity are Analysed using developed system dynamics model in the research. In the model the world is divided into two groups : OECD countries and the others. Used global land use data set is land cover map derived from satellite data, and potential distribution of arable land is estimated by the method of Cramer and Solomon which takes into consideration spatial distribution of climate data such as precipitation and evapotranspiration. In addition, impacts of C02 emission from human activities on food production through global warming are included in the model as a feedback.The results of the analysis for BaU scenario and Toronto Conference scenario are similar to the results of existing models. From the result of this study, the human habitability in 2020 is 8 billion people, and C02 emission in 2020 based on BaU Scenario and on Toronto Scenario is 1.7 and 1.2 times more than the 1986's respectively. Improving spatial resolution of the model by using global data to distribute the environmental variables and sauce-economical indices is left for flurther studies. Less

本研究的主要内容如下：（1）全球环境数据库的建立本研究建立的主要数据库如下：--《农业地图集》数字化后的1960年代土地利用/覆被变化图--Cramer和所罗门方法的耕地潜力分布--人口、GDP、粮食生产率、粮食消费、能源消费，每个国家的木柴消费量和圆木消费量。(2)（3）考虑生活方式变化的土地利用/覆被变化估算利用GIS和社会经济数据，从粮食生产率和CO2排放量的角度分析了人类活动与全球环境变化的关系。假设通过管理土地利用，可以稳定人口问题、粮食问题和能源消耗引起的全球变暖， ...更多信息 本文运用系统动力学模型分析了粮食、能源和木材的需求对全球环境变化和全球人口容量的影响。在该模型中，世界被分为两组：经合组织国家和其他国家。所用的全球土地利用数据集是由卫星数据得到的土地覆盖图，并利用Cramer和所罗门的方法估计可耕地的潜在分布，该方法考虑了降水和蒸散等气候数据的空间分布。此外，模型还考虑了人类活动CO2排放通过全球变暖对粮食生产的影响作为反馈，对BaU情景和多伦多会议情景的分析结果与已有模型的结果相似。从研究结果来看，2020年的人类可居住人口为80亿人，基于BaU情景和多伦多情景的2020年CO2排放量分别是1986年的1.7倍和1.2倍。通过利用全球数据分布环境变量和酱料经济指标来提高模型的空间分辨率有待于进一步研究。少

项目成果

S.Goto: "Use of DMSP/OLS for monitoring LUCC from forest to arable land and Urban." Proc.of GCTE-LUCC Open Science Conf.(1998)

S.Goto：“使用 DMSP/OLS 监测从森林到耕地和城市的 LUCC。”

CHEN Xiuwan, S.Goto.C.Hyun AHN: "Land Cover Change Detection by Post-Classifying For Multi Temporal Landsat Tm Data" International Archives of Photogrammetry And Remote Sensing. Vol.XXXII No.7. 399-405 (1998)

CHEN Xiuwan，S.Goto.C.Hyun AHN：“通过对多时态 Landsat Tm 数据进行后分类进行土地覆盖变化检测”国际摄影测量和遥感档案。

S.Goto et al: "Simulation Model for Analysis of Human Impact on Environmental Change through LUC from the View Point of Food Productivity and CO2 Emission Using GIS as a Tool" Proc.of IIASA-IHDP Open meetig. (印刷中). (1997)

S. Goto 等人：“以 GIS 为工具，通过 LUC 分析人类对环境变化的影响”，IIASA-IHDP 公开会议，1997 年。 ）

T.Endo, S.Goto, R.Shibazaki: "Global Estimation of Land Use Change Impacts on Soil and Water resources (in Japanese)" Papers on Evvironmental Information Science. No.11. 81-86 (1997)

T.Endo、S.Goto、R.Shibazaki：“土地利用变化对土壤和水资源影响的全球估计（日语）”环境信息科学论文。

後藤真太郎、酒井聡一他: "システムダイナミックス法による人間活動の地球環境影響評価モデル" 第5回地球環境シンポジュウム論文集. 105-110 (1997)

Shintaro Goto、Soichi Sakai 等：“使用系统动力学方法评估人类活动对全球环境影响的模型”第五届全球环境研讨会论文集 105-110 (1997)。