WorldTrans: TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE

WorldTrans：针对真实人员的透明评估

• 批准号: 10043512
• 金额: $ 39.97万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: EU-Funded
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2022 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=10043512
• 关键词: WorldTrans; TRANSPARENT; ASSESSMENTS; REAL; PEOPLE

There are a few important working hypotheses that lie behind our choice of approach to this call. For Europe to deliver on its Green Deal ambition (to make Europe’s economy climate neutral by 2050), we believe that citizen engagement stakeholder engagement may be as important as dry facts and figures. People (not economies) react to climate change, people make decisions to act or not to act. Such is the nature of a democratic process. It is this realization that has made us choose to address transparency, openness, engagement and to work with models of the system, not its parts. WorldTrans will focus on three key limitations of the state-of-the-art of IAMs, namely: 1 Weak representation of social, human and economic heterogeneity; 2 Limited representation of feedbacks between the domains of nature and humans; and 3 Lack of transparency with respect to the inner workings of the models as well as with respect to the uptake of results and involvement of citizens and stakeholders, including limited assessment and traceability of uncertainty. We will address systemic, structural deficiencies in current IAMs rather than making incremental improvements. In doing so, we sacrifice details of any particular sector or process, instead capturing the essences of their functions in order to focus on how those processes affect each other within and across domains. WorldTrans will use system dynamics methods and modelling to deal transparently with multiscale issues and policy response options; and “bridge gaps” between models, experts and user communities by developing attractive learning environments that allows for simulations of decisionmaking processes and joint reflections of meaning and implication. As such, WorldTrans will deliver actionable results in support of the expected impacts and outcomes requested by the call.

在我们选择这一呼吁的方法的背后，有几个重要的工作假设。对于欧洲实现其绿色协议的雄心（到2050年使欧洲经济实现气候中立），我们认为公民参与利益相关者参与可能与干燥的事实和数据一样重要。人们（而不是经济体）对气候变化做出反应，人们决定采取行动或不采取行动。这就是民主进程的性质。正是这种认识促使我们选择处理透明度、开放性、参与性问题，并采用系统的模式，而不是其组成部分。WorldTrans将重点关注最先进的IAM的三个关键限制，即：1社会，人类和经济异质性的弱代表性; 2自然和人类领域之间的反馈的有限代表性; 3.在模型的内部运作以及在成果的吸收和公民及利益攸关方的参与方面缺乏透明度，包括对不确定性的有限评估和可追溯性。我们将解决当前综合管理机制中的系统性、结构性缺陷，而不是进行渐进式改进。在此过程中，我们牺牲了任何特定部门或流程的细节，而是捕捉其功能的本质，以便重点关注这些流程如何在域内和跨域相互影响。WorldTrans将使用系统动力学方法和模型，透明地处理多尺度问题和政策应对方案;并通过开发有吸引力的学习环境，模拟决策过程和共同思考意义和影响，“弥合”模型、专家和用户群体之间的差距。因此，WorldTrans将提供可操作的结果，以支持电话会议要求的预期影响和结果。